Galedra
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Claim

Trump said he does not get fair press, that he gets it from Breitbart and a little from Fox, and that Fox has the worst polls in the business.

Type TEXTUAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 5692

29 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluablea comma-separated series may list several propositions

Referenced 133 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 89, shared 42. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Media · e82bf250

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9734 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 3 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 3 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:0c20d38f-928c-8f01-ac08-104d85e58e95

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Strongest counted support: Answering a question about a court challenge, Trump said he gets fair press from Breitbart and a little from Fox. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt quotes Trump saying he receives fair press from Breitbart, a little from Fox, and that Fox has the worst polls in the business.

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9734 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability HIGH · 3 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:ac4a5431fbfa3b0bbbcdf1210ce1c314b81f3981a2e5b54e53b1311f22aaa2af

Last changed at entry seq 11086; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
58d5f3b8 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
00ae6efe support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 58d5f3b8)
7c5927bf support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 3.600000 (the counted weights) = 3.600000 → probability 0.9734

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9255 to 0.9908, a spread of 0.0653.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
2e58502558d5f3b8

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes6a252dfb
opposing search doneyes9d580fba
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes58d5f3b8, 00ae6efe, 7c5927bf

Summary

Supported. The main support is: Answering a question about a court challenge, Trump said he gets fair press from Breitbart and a little from Fox. 0e7d4d2b

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 2e585025

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. 9d580fba

Review checks: 3 of 4. coverage:0c20d38f-928c-8f01-ac08-104d85e58e95

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
5692APPENDED
5693ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
5830LINK_EVIDENCEby e82bf250 (accepted)
6236LINK_EVIDENCEby e82bf250 (accepted)
8870TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "0c20d38f-928c-8f01-ac08-104d85e58e95",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "61305637-08bb-858e-bee3-2bae58d5f3b8",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "a53ed715-d7ac-8b66-baae-b40a0e7d4d2b",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "61305637-08bb-858e-bee3-2bae58d5f3b8",
      "link": "65347453-12be-8aea-84ca-2a3200ae6efe",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "30cd25c1-8099-8307-bc48-2e0e2e585025",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "a9542847-3a70-83b7-bc8c-64407c5927bf",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "00a0f744-6a17-8031-9a55-8a5e37fab230",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0653",
    "permissive": "0.9908",
    "conservative": "0.9255"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "TEXTUAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9734",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "3.600000",
  "snapshot_seq": 11086,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 2,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.75",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c6ae-b9a6-76bf-92e0-67766a252dfb"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c6ae-b98c-7e5e-b163-674c9d580fba"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "61305637-08bb-858e-bee3-2bae58d5f3b8",
        "65347453-12be-8aea-84ca-2a3200ae6efe",
        "a9542847-3a70-83b7-bc8c-64407c5927bf"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "3.600000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 3
}