Galedra
Sign in Sign up

Claim

The Ashcombe bandstand was built in 1902.

Type TEXTUAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 211

Referenced 100 times: checked 0, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 98, shared 2. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Modern · d6193340

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 2 counted

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 2 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 2 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:0fab71cd-c45a-871d-9fc2-88377f94dad4

Not yet independently audited; some evidence was recorded by an anonymous contributor.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The page says the bandstand was built in 1902. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt states that the bandstand was built in 1902.

Review gaps: independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 2 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 2 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:07a9c24320b86e38f7d6b677a4557632d3ef8eb887c1fc5b562d5e3e80598cfd

Last changed at entry seq 10859; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
f2042536 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 414de964)
414de964 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.800000 (the counted weights) = 1.800000 → probability 0.8581

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7790 to 0.9121, a spread of 0.1331.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
3ef1e5ad414de964

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 2 of 4

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyesb9ef3563
opposing search doneyes030c6882
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedno

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The page says the bandstand was built in 1902. 64467b08

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 3ef1e5ad

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. 030c6882

Review checks: 2 of 4. coverage:0fab71cd-c45a-871d-9fc2-88377f94dad4

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
211APPENDED
212ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
215LINK_EVIDENCEby 538f6cee (accepted)
7000TASK_RESULTby 8b5e81bf (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "0fab71cd-c45a-871d-9fc2-88377f94dad4",
  "links": [
    {
      "kept": "b2061776-1727-8bb9-a8a2-6e56414de964",
      "link": "2adbefee-dec8-89e8-bcec-5029f2042536",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "37a07e38-566a-8c7b-a0e7-6c843ef1e5ad",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "b2061776-1727-8bb9-a8a2-6e56414de964",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "991a6d12-8604-883e-904f-956d64467b08",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1331",
    "permissive": "0.9121",
    "conservative": "0.7790"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "TEXTUAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8581",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 10859,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.50",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0b602-744c-7731-b76f-bd99b9ef3563"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0b602-7434-73af-be27-80ab030c6882"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 2
}