Galedra
Sign in Sign up

Claim

The counted agricultural-lime passage states the 1900 baseline, estimated potential, catchment scale, and decadal lag but does not itself name the Mississippi River Basin.

Type TEXTUAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 22561

a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluablea comma-separated series may list several propositions

Referenced 65 times: checked 0, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 65, shared 0. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Not filed under any topic yet.

Assessment

Contradicted

Score: 0.1419 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 2 by the author only

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 1 counted evidence item has no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:1460cca5-2429-821c-baa2-6ec1fa5587fa

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far contradicts this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.

Related: NARROWS outgoing: Supported

Why?

Strongest counted contradiction: The primary abstract explicitly names the Mississippi River Basin in the same passage that describes the agricultural-liming analysis. weight 1.800000 evidence

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.1419 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Contradicted · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 1 source, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:099b977a1831ddc5db1d4f52f57099e24883d19ebc54a7788c4d7584d9a4a0f8

Last changed at entry seq 22593; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
f966131e contradict relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + -1.800000 (the counted weights) = -1.800000 → probability 0.1419

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.2210 to 0.0879, a spread of 0.1331.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Evidence for

None.

Evidence against

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

FromRelationshipTo
fa5587faNARROWS31d75e61

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyesf966131e

Summary

Contradicted. The main contradiction is: The primary abstract explicitly names the Mississippi River Basin in the same passage that describes the agricultural-liming analysis. 69de5e8b

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. c0568c2b

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:1460cca5-2429-821c-baa2-6ec1fa5587fa

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
22561APPENDED
22562ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
22592TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "1460cca5-2429-821c-baa2-6ec1fa5587fa",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "2804cfe9-2229-8902-bd9a-8664f966131e",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "85865612-be21-89ef-8fff-339e69de5e8b",
      "direction": "CONTRADICT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1331",
    "permissive": "0.0879",
    "conservative": "0.2210"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "TEXTUAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.1419",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "-1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 22593,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 0,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "CONTRADICTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "2804cfe9-2229-8902-bd9a-8664f966131e"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 1,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "-1.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 1
}