Claim

Model ledger-default@0.1.0 ledger-strict@0.1.0 ledger-default@0.2.0 ledger-strict@0.2.0 ledger-default@0.3.0 (default) ledger-strict@0.3.0 Snapshot seq

Topics

Not filed under any topic yet.

Assessment

Why?

Strongest counted support: The report directly confirms the counted Qwen 27B six-gigabyte compressed-model passage and adds the laptop/phone portability context, while preserving that this is Mostaque’s claim rather than a demonstrated property of every open-weight model. weight 0.918000 evidence

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Leans contradicted.

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Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

• “The counted excerpt says a Qwen 27B model can be distilled to about a 6 GB file that can live forever; it does not specify ordinary laptops or phones, nor...” · 1 claim · 28 September 2026

Evidence for

• The report directly confirms the counted Qwen 27B six-gigabyte compressed-model passage and adds the laptop/phone portability context, while preserving that this is Mostaque’s claim rather than a demonstrated property of every open-weight model.

  From Emad Mostaque: OpenAI solved a Millennium Prize problem with 10,000 agents in 88 hours Read 2026-09-28 Relevance STRONG Steps 1 Counted

  Directly addresses the claim’s missing model and deployment details.

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

From	Relationship	To
d73252c9	NARROWS	bf113d1f

Review checklist

Review checks: 0 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author. No independent review yet. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	no

Summary

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
8614	APPENDED
8615	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
12050	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "15b9c9c0-a71f-845a-90c2-f38ad73252c9",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "007b46ca-c595-8824-b813-cf56afc450c0",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "93d593f2-dbdd-8d57-b8d5-7d6f91eec595",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.918000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.918000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1120",
    "permissive": "0.7673",
    "conservative": "0.6553"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "LOW",
  "claim_type": "INTERPRETIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.7146",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "0.918000",
  "snapshot_seq": 12051,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": true,
  "review_coverage": "0.00",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "LEANS_SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "0.918000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 1
}