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Claim

The counted excerpt says only that OpenAI's chief scientist asked the world to slow down "at the same time"; it does not specify a calendar week, the exact GPT-6 Astra shipping date, or the scientist's identity or scope of the request.

Type INTERPRETIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 8558

41 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluablea comma-separated series may list several propositions

Referenced 112 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 2, viewed 84, shared 25. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Not filed under any topic yet.

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8220 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 0 counted · 2 by the author only

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 0 of 4 · stability LOW

Main unresolved issue: 1 counted evidence item has no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:1e017fbc-2ff5-8e89-a5e7-db0f21fad0c1

Not yet independently audited.This assessment depends heavily on modeling choices.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 0 of 4 review checks have been done.Every quoted passage was confirmed on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Related: NARROWS outgoing: Supported

Why?

Strongest counted support: The episode says GPT-6 Astra had been out for a week and that OpenAI's chief scientist asked the world to slow down at the same time. weight 1.530000 evidence

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans contradicted.

Hide calculation

0.8220 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 0 of 4 · stability LOW · 1 source, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:67a69c489f9f2486583336deaf864bec7bfdbd43e8071766914104e2b3dec527

Last changed at entry seq 10687; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
6577e758 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.530000 1.530000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.530000 (the counted weights) = 1.530000 → probability 0.8220

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7448 to 0.8796, a spread of 0.1348.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

FromRelationshipTo
21fad0c1NARROWS580606d2

Review checklist

Review checks: 0 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author. No independent review yet. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedno

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The episode says GPT-6 Astra had been out for a week and that OpenAI's chief scientist asked the world to slow down at the same time. 7d1961cb

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. 8fd6aaf6

Review checks: 0 of 4. coverage:1e017fbc-2ff5-8e89-a5e7-db0f21fad0c1

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
8558APPENDED
8559ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
10686LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "1e017fbc-2ff5-8e89-a5e7-db0f21fad0c1",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "0e9184e8-46b5-80d7-a77b-e1f06577e758",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "5153b32b-3a98-8953-8408-21557d1961cb",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.530000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.530000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1348",
    "permissive": "0.8796",
    "conservative": "0.7448"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "LOW",
  "claim_type": "INTERPRETIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8220",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.530000",
  "snapshot_seq": 10687,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": true,
  "review_coverage": "0.00",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.530000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 1
}