Galedra
Sign in Sign up

Claim

Trump fired the Kennedy Center’s board when he took control in February 2025.

Type HISTORICAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 5040

Referenced 195 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 149, shared 45. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Government · 56fe4c61 Entertainment · 56fe4c61

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8758 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 4 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:1ff5ee23-787e-8cde-9de0-a284537c89e4

Not yet independently audited.

Related: NARROWS incoming: Supported

Why?

Strongest counted support: Trump dismissed more than half of the Kennedy Center board on Feb. 10, 2025 and was elected chairman Feb. 12. weight 1.800000 evidence

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8758 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 4 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:83aa53d28a45cec5c8d47d3ad5ec8c4ecd3d28f78b1e027911929c071668d2fd

Last changed at entry seq 7871; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
b0ee0573 qualify relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.080000 0.000000 (non directional)
74a364d4 support relevance WEAK 0.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.153000 0.153000
63b25e18 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
48b9df32 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (non directional)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.953000 (the counted weights) = 1.953000 → probability 0.8758

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7969 to 0.9268, a spread of 0.1299.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

FromRelationshipTo
019ac839NARROWS537c89e4

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes45a11dce
opposing search doneyesc2e4c460
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes48b9df32

Summary

Supported. The main support is: Excerpt says Biden appointees were dismissed, not that Trump fired the whole board. 38715e5e

Qualifier: Reuters reported Biden-appointed trustees were dismissed, not that every trustee was fired. d548d599

Qualifier: The center’s official release dates Trump’s chair election and fourteen new trustee appointments to February 12, 2025, with a 31-member board. c25f1b78

A narrower version of this claim is supported. 019ac839

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. c2e4c460

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. c2e4c460

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
5040APPENDED
5041ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
5084LINK_EVIDENCEby 56fe4c61 (accepted)
7120TASK_RESULTby 8b5e81bf (accepted)
7728TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
7790TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "1ff5ee23-787e-8cde-9de0-a284537c89e4",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "0918a240-6a9c-89e6-8b0d-2097b0ee0573",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "bcc49083-0fea-82bb-adf6-5e68d548d599",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "1.080000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "29194b9f-e27e-849c-a8d0-4bb074a364d4",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "3585bb15-700b-8199-a881-664238715e5e",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.153000",
      "relevance": "WEAK",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.153000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "67ee62dc-912e-8a14-9a39-13ea63b25e18",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "25535e13-3fb8-8b22-82e4-f7e82efb370f",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "fe9214b4-6e34-89b4-80af-f0d048b9df32",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "9e0c0259-19f9-8294-86fd-65e9c25f1b78",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1299",
    "permissive": "0.9268",
    "conservative": "0.7969"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "HISTORICAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8758",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.953000",
  "snapshot_seq": 7871,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 2,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.75",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c332-f7bb-78a6-b473-fab645a11dce"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c332-f7a2-714a-94a8-1241c2e4c460"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "fe9214b4-6e34-89b4-80af-f0d048b9df32"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.953000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 4
}