Claim
The Decoder reported GPT-6 Astra at 62.7% on ARC-AGI-3, compared with 7.78% for GPT-5.6 Sol and 30.16% for Claude Opus 5.
a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluableTopics
Assessment
Supported
Main unresolved issue: 2 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:2531e17c-7090-8bf7-b3bc-1d1f96127749
Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 0 of 4 review checks have been done.
Why?
Strongest counted support: The report compares ARC-AGI-3 scores of 62.7% for Astra, 7.78% for Sol, and 30.16% for Claude Opus 5. weight 1.800000 evidence
Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt directly compares ARC-AGI-3 scores of 62.7% for Astra, 7.78% for Sol, and 30.16% for Claude Opus 5.
Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed, primary source reviewed
What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
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Checked as part of
- “The Decoder reported GPT-6 Astra at 62.7% on ARC-AGI-3, compared with 7.78% for GPT-5.6 Sol and 30.16% for Claude Opus 5.” · 1 claim · 28 September 2026
Evidence for
-
From Benchmarks disagree on GPT-6 Astra, but its human-beating efficiency on ARC-AGI-3 pulls Chollet’s AGI forecast forward Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
The excerpt directly states all three benchmark scores and the comparison.
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From Benchmarks disagree on GPT-6 Astra, but its human-beating efficiency on ARC-AGI-3 pulls Chollet’s AGI forecast forward Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
All three models and scores are explicitly stated in the excerpt.
Evidence against
None.
Qualifications
None.
Suppressed as dependent
| Evidence | Group | Kept instead |
|---|---|---|
| 0ab79307 | 937ac45d |
Inferences
Concluded from
None.
Used as a premise in
None.
Threads
None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.
Claim edges
None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.
Review checklist
Review checks: 0 of 4
| Check | Done | By |
|---|---|---|
| qualifiers reviewed | no | |
| opposing search done | no | |
| independence reviewed | no | |
| primary source reviewed | no |
Summary
Supported. The main support is: The report compares ARC-AGI-3 scores of 62.7% for Astra, 7.78% for Sol, and 30.16% for Claude Opus 5. c6eb5984
1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 0ab79307
A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. 3eae04c0
Review checks: 0 of 4. coverage:2531e17c-7090-8bf7-b3bc-1d1f96127749
Contribution history
| seq | event | detail |
|---|---|---|
| 12420 | APPENDED | |
| 12421 | ACCEPT | AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION |
| 12426 | LINK_EVIDENCE | by 1efd24fe (accepted) |
| 12440 | TASK_RESULT | by 1efd24fe (accepted) |