Galedra
Sign in Sign up

Claim

As of early September 2026, publicly downloadable open-weight AI model checkpoints had no vendor-operated remote kill switch built into the weights themselves.

Type OBSERVATIONAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 7744

Referenced 202 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 165, shared 36. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Not filed under any topic yet.

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8938 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 0 counted · 2 by the author only

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 0 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 3 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:2d47dfcf-d78d-8f5f-9079-e4b146623fb7

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 0 of 4 review checks have been done.A quoted passage from contextstudios.ai was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Related: NARROWS incoming: Leans supported NARROWS outgoing: Supported

Why?

Strongest counted support: The analysis independently supports the distinction between centrally controlled endpoints and downloaded open weights: a vendor or regulator cannot reliably reach every local copy after download. weight 1.530000 evidence

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8938 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 0 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 3 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:21da153a1afb0d953f66bbe1859e29d72b4c3bd406ab982601f23788a1d7ed11

Last changed at entry seq 12005; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
de266b34 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation EXPERT_ANALYSIS 0.3 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.600000 0.000000 (non directional)
339739d0 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation EXPERT_ANALYSIS 0.3 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.600000 0.600000
a33adaa0 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.530000 1.530000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 2.130000 (the counted weights) = 2.130000 → probability 0.8938

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.8162 to 0.9410, a spread of 0.1248.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

FromRelationshipTo
46623fb7NARROWSe093c89d
60017383NARROWS46623fb7

Review checklist

Review checks: 0 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author. No independent review yet. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedno

Summary

Supported. The main support is: Openly published weights can run locally or offline without a central vendor switch to disable them. de4e3172

Qualifier: The source limits the no-switch finding to openly published weights that can run locally or offline. 82ce54cd

A narrower version of this claim is leans supported. 60017383

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. 673b28d9

Review checks: 0 of 4. coverage:2d47dfcf-d78d-8f5f-9079-e4b146623fb7

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
7744APPENDED
7745ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
7762TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
7776TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
12004LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "2d47dfcf-d78d-8f5f-9079-e4b146623fb7",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "9ecd2736-2b7e-8c59-9395-5a99de266b34",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "65d81b80-c382-8e96-a4e8-0e9282ce54cd",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.600000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "EXPERT_ANALYSIS",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "a689c852-ad9b-81d0-92c8-087e339739d0",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "2703a3ae-979c-836b-afce-980bde4e3172",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.600000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "EXPERT_ANALYSIS",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.600000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "dfd96e57-51ae-84f3-b7be-1efba33adaa0",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "5c1762de-e82d-84d6-a401-d730e4c42015",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.530000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.530000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1248",
    "permissive": "0.9410",
    "conservative": "0.8162"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "OBSERVATIONAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8938",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "2.130000",
  "snapshot_seq": 12005,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 2,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.00",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "2.130000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 3
}