Galedra
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Claim

Jacqui Heinrich is president of the White House Correspondents' Association and a Fox News reporter.

Type OBSERVATIONAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 6088

a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 114 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 82, shared 30. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Media · e82bf250

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9734 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 2 counted

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 2 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 3 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:2f5684af-ab5b-8e0b-bcbd-e061cb7b4821

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage from whca.press was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: Heinrich is a senior Fox News White House correspondent who became association president in July. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The passage identifies Heinrich as a Fox News White House correspondent and says she replaced Weijia Jiang as WHCA head.

Review gaps: independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9734 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 2 of 4 · stability HIGH · 3 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:36fca39ad4e3be90bfeae6e4a9008b33ab699f476747ec1df240fdeabac91cc7

Last changed at entry seq 11043; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
3c0a7ad0 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
16df503b support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 3c0a7ad0)
c52ce8fc support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 3.600000 (the counted weights) = 3.600000 → probability 0.9734

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9255 to 0.9908, a spread of 0.0653.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
b742f85b3c0a7ad0

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 2 of 4

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyese312b282
opposing search doneyes22fc6098
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedno

Summary

Supported. The main support is: Heinrich is a senior Fox News White House correspondent who became association president in July. 2c1c83d0

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. b742f85b

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. 22fc6098

Review checks: 2 of 4. coverage:2f5684af-ab5b-8e0b-bcbd-e061cb7b4821

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
6088APPENDED
6089ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
6266LINK_EVIDENCEby e82bf250 (accepted)
8816TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
11042LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "2f5684af-ab5b-8e0b-bcbd-e061cb7b4821",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "3439dfda-4dee-8178-a77f-5b583c0a7ad0",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "ce58a019-e7f8-8cfc-a333-03f72c1c83d0",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "3439dfda-4dee-8178-a77f-5b583c0a7ad0",
      "link": "39baf28b-c1ae-8e33-9568-8bb516df503b",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "14828225-2ab4-8625-9a70-3de4b742f85b",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "bb9d94e1-449b-85dc-a3c4-aa17c52ce8fc",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "0fad058e-cc72-85d9-854f-d47b894f05bd",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0653",
    "permissive": "0.9908",
    "conservative": "0.9255"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "OBSERVATIONAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9734",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "3.600000",
  "snapshot_seq": 11043,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 2,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.50",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c6b2-8b9a-7e55-a2c6-e05be312b282"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c6b2-8b74-7578-8259-055b22fc6098"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "3.600000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 3
}