Galedra
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Claim

The most congested road corridor in the US is a stretch of I-95 in Connecticut.

Type QUANTITATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 7420

Referenced 166 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 64, shared 101. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Not filed under any topic yet.

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8983 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 2 counted

3 independent evidence lineages · review checks 2 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 5 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:364ac2a7-41af-88c5-8196-3e93c9a5afa2

Not yet independently audited.Evidence points both ways.A quoted passage from qubemark.com was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The excerpt says Stamford, Connecticut’s I-95 is number one among the country’s most congested roads. weight 1.800000 evidence

Strongest counted contradiction: IRU reports that Chicago's I-294/I-290/I-88 intersection was the top U.S. freight bottleneck in 2026. weight 0.540000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: INRIX ranks I-95 in Stamford, Connecticut the most congested US road.

Review gaps: independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8983 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 2 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 5 sources, 3 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:781ee7e28754a88bc71535d30037f78e86129b366d323f2e3e0b87428332f291

Last changed at entry seq 11268; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
7bd1a902 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (non directional)
fe454272 contradict relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.540000 0.540000
3be51a9e support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DATASET_RESULT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.530000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 96f72cbd)
b4b7a0af support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DATASET_RESULT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.918000 0.918000
96f72cbd support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 2.178000 (the counted weights) = 2.178000 → probability 0.8983

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.8212 to 0.9443, a spread of 0.1231. The result sits on a rounding boundary.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
5a415db996f72cbd

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 2 of 4

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes5c93cb14
opposing search doneyes4696fc0a
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedno

Summary

Supported. The main support is: That I-95 stretch cost peak-hour drivers 151 hours in 2024. 3f20b4f4

Against that, contradiction: IRU reports that Chicago's I-294/I-290/I-88 intersection was the top U.S. freight bottleneck in 2026. 51bf92a8

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 5a415db9

Qualifier: The counted table reports 151 hours in 2024, so the congestion ranking is time-bound. 9529f975

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. 4696fc0a

Review checks: 2 of 4. coverage:364ac2a7-41af-88c5-8196-3e93c9a5afa2

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
7420APPENDED
7421ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
7434LINK_EVIDENCEby 8b5e81bf (accepted)
7436LINK_EVIDENCEby 8b5e81bf (accepted)
8944TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
9349TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
11267TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "364ac2a7-41af-88c5-8196-3e93c9a5afa2",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "255c266e-3540-8947-bed7-d80b7bd1a902",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "db3b170d-eb33-8aeb-b5b2-fc5d9529f975",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "353f526a-8b99-8fef-8e45-b714fe454272",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "bc91f88c-bbfb-8ad3-9ccb-1ec651bf92a8",
      "direction": "CONTRADICT",
      "magnitude": "0.540000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.540000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "b4434fe3-042b-88e8-9c47-d99b96f72cbd",
      "link": "4a56c4e7-c407-8b6a-b902-88343be51a9e",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "d1d6e843-4f08-8fe9-a2c0-d52b5a415db9",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.530000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DATASET_RESULT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "a9e38490-004d-8a51-a2f1-1067b4b7a0af",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "8fce09ab-fad7-8357-b5f0-398e3f20b4f4",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.918000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DATASET_RESULT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.918000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "b4434fe3-042b-88e8-9c47-d99b96f72cbd",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "bf9c3c07-8703-83cf-ba2c-74719bfc2fb4",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1231",
    "permissive": "0.9443",
    "conservative": "0.8212"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": true,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8983",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "2.178000",
  "snapshot_seq": 11268,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 2,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.50",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0cb3a-9d1f-7809-8ab1-cd955c93cb14"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0cb3a-9d0c-73f4-8794-7c9a4696fc0a"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 1,
  "rounding_boundary": true,
  "posterior_log_odds": "2.178000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 5
}