Claim

Publicly downloaded open weights can run locally or air-gapped without a vendor-operated central shutdown mechanism, unlike closed cloud models.

Type OBSERVATIONAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 7762

a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 161 times: checked 0, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 161, shared 0. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Not filed under any topic yet.

Assessment

Leans supported

Score: 0.6457 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 0 counted · 2 by the author only

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 0 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 2 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:3d4dfafd-6f12-8d16-80d2-a6c260017383

Not yet independently audited.

Why?

Strongest counted support: Open weights can operate locally or offline without a central vendor shutdown switch. weight 0.600000 evidence

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Contradicted.

Hide calculation

0.6457 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Leans supported · Review checks: 0 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 2 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:8a4ae922b478d7f415f7e5d408003430155d3a386d12edfae9a57b1074aabc37

Last changed at entry seq 7781; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

Link	Working	Weight	Counted as
95c5eac8 qualify	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation EXPERT_ANALYSIS 0.3 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.600000	0.000000 (non directional)
aaeb7d6c support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation EXPERT_ANALYSIS 0.3 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.600000	0.600000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 0.600000 (the counted weights) = 0.600000 → probability 0.6457

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.6035 to 0.6857, a spread of 0.0822.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Evidence for

Open weights can operate locally or offline without a central vendor shutdown switch.

From US wants AI "kill switch" — experts: The law stops nothing Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

The two passages support both sides of the comparison.

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Openly published weights can be downloaded and run offline without a central switch.

From US wants AI "kill switch" — experts: The law stops nothing Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

The statement is scoped to publicly downloaded weights themselves, not to closed models or deployment-layer custody systems.

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

From	Relationship	To
60017383	NARROWS	46623fb7
badbffda	NARROWS	60017383

Review checklist

Review checks: 0 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author. No independent review yet. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	no

Summary

Leans supported. The main support is: Open weights can operate locally or offline without a central vendor shutdown switch. ba0b049f

Qualifier: Openly published weights can be downloaded and run offline without a central switch. 367ae433

A narrower version of this claim is supported. badbffda

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. a39749a4

Review checks: 0 of 4. coverage:3d4dfafd-6f12-8d16-80d2-a6c260017383

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
7762	APPENDED
7763	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
7766	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
7780	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "3d4dfafd-6f12-8d16-80d2-a6c260017383",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "d5eeb6de-94e0-892b-b14a-4b1995c5eac8",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "d3efdfa5-311d-8494-bb0a-2668367ae433",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.600000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "EXPERT_ANALYSIS",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "dbd02b96-bfce-884e-b8da-c16eaaeb7d6c",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "bb8e77a9-bdab-8fca-9bb2-d2c0ba0b049f",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.600000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "EXPERT_ANALYSIS",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.600000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0822",
    "permissive": "0.6857",
    "conservative": "0.6035"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "OBSERVATIONAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.6457",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "0.600000",
  "snapshot_seq": 7781,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.00",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "LEANS_SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "0.600000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 2
}