Claim

Model ledger-default@0.1.0 ledger-strict@0.1.0 ledger-default@0.2.0 ledger-strict@0.2.0 ledger-default@0.3.0 (default) ledger-strict@0.3.0 Snapshot seq

Topics

Not filed under any topic yet.

Assessment

Why?

Strongest counted support: The article explicitly gives the economic-contributor example as an 80-year-old with the body and mind of a 50-year-old. weight 1.800000 evidence

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.

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Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

• “The economic-contributor example is specifically an 80-year-old with the body and mind of a 50-year-old.” · 1 claim · 28 September 2026

Evidence for

• The speaker's example is an 80-year-old with the body and mind of a 50-year-old.

  From OpenAI Agents Hijack a German Website, Jensen Declares AGI Arrived, and OpenAI Solves Navier-Stokes Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 1 Counted

  Directly supports the narrower comparative claim; it is the same video source from which the claim was extracted.

• The article explicitly gives the economic-contributor example as an 80-year-old with the body and mind of a 50-year-old.

  From Emad Mostaque: OpenAI solved a Millennium Prize problem with 10,000 agents in 88 hours Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

  The quoted passage directly matches the claimed example.

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

From	Relationship	To
eadcf604	NARROWS	9b5ab99b

Review checklist

Review checks: 0 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author. No independent review yet. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	no

Summary

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
14486	APPENDED
14487	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
14506	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
14538	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "44d18087-60bc-8684-af36-b433eadcf604",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "97445c8b-cade-8e1a-bbbf-59cba8b0aaed",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "040bc7b0-26c4-8745-9fe4-4898987757d8",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.530000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "VIDEO",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.530000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "e6c0756a-d505-8658-96d8-bbf2aa886b11",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "f50e2458-9252-8bcb-b3f6-266bc91e1cca",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0756",
    "permissive": "0.9870",
    "conservative": "0.9114"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "COMPARATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9654",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "3.330000",
  "snapshot_seq": 14539,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 2,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.00",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "3.330000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 2
}