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Claim

JWST/NIRSpec spectroscopy detected blueshifted absorption from neutral, low-ionization, and high-ionization metals in three galaxies at redshift 7.2–9.3, consistent with galaxy-associated kinematically disturbed gas before the midpoint of cosmic reionization.

Type OBSERVATIONAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 16363

29 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluablea comma-separated series may list several propositions

Referenced 119 times: checked 3, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 68, shared 48. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Astronomy and space · 1efd24fe Physics · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9925 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 2 by the author only

3 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 5 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:45276019-ee8a-8475-8662-b72f4f4a5030

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.A quoted passage from nature.com was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The spectroscopy detected multiple metal-ion phases in three very high-redshift galaxies and the authors interpret their shared blueshifted structure as disturbed galaxy-associated gas. weight 2.000000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The passage directly reports three galaxies, the redshift range, multiple metal-ion phases, blueshifts, and the cautious disturbed-gas interpretation.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9925 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability HIGH · 5 sources, 3 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:f60e920d0bb9348fa8b4d01799ce40c181530a33dff5edf55d93e61684e3bb50

Last changed at entry seq 25778; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
ac0f1676 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
8551761b support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 86ab48bc)
87a51d8d qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 0.000000 (non directional)
cc727712 support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.080000 1.080000
86ab48bc support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 2.000000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 4.880000 (the counted weights) = 4.880000 → probability 0.9925

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9682 to 0.9982, a spread of 0.0300.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
4744bc0e86ab48bc

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyesac0f1676, 8551761b, 87a51d8d, 86ab48bc

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The primary Nature Astronomy study reports blueshifted absorption from multiple metal-ionization phases in three galaxies at redshifts 7.2 to 9.3. 0f314d48

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 4744bc0e

Qualifier: The result applies to three UV-bright, luminous selected galaxies and supports disturbed galaxy-associated gas, while leaving absorber geometry, acceleration mechanism, and population-wide prevalence unresolved. 33ec84f6

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. b438fb65

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:45276019-ee8a-8475-8662-b72f4f4a5030

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
16363APPENDED
16364ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
16369LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
16399TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
16457LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
19040LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
25777TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "45276019-ee8a-8475-8662-b72f4f4a5030",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "3f47cbcd-67a1-817d-87ba-5bb3ac0f1676",
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      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
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      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "e3aeeec0-b137-88ad-ad7b-fe3086ab48bc",
      "link": "8f956cc6-eb78-8e06-9193-07138551761b",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
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      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
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      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
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      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "a49f13a8-15cd-80e4-b70c-7b7d87a51d8d",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "091505e5-f184-8f3e-9828-278d33ec84f6",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
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      "observation": "MEASUREMENT",
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      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "c902aa76-e0e7-82f1-a292-32aacc727712",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "92500516-4929-8402-8d82-a9c5d48d0f80",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.080000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.080000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "e3aeeec0-b137-88ad-ad7b-fe3086ab48bc",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "1996a49a-0d06-860d-9a07-3e3001bb844c",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "2.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "MEASUREMENT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "2.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0300",
    "permissive": "0.9982",
    "conservative": "0.9682"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "OBSERVATIONAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9925",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "4.880000",
  "snapshot_seq": 25778,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 3,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
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        "e3aeeec0-b137-88ad-ad7b-fe3086ab48bc"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "4.880000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 5
}