Claim

One of the biggest risks in the year following early September 2026 is that people lose their sense of agency.

Type NORMATIVE · truth-evaluable: no (NORMATIVE_OR_VALUE) · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 3950

Referenced 62 times: checked 0, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 60, shared 2. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Not filed under any topic yet.

Assessment

Not assessed

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

0 independent evidence lineages · review checks 3 of 4 · stability n/a

This is a value judgment; the system maps its premises but does not assign it a probability.

Main unresolved issue: 2 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:4822175c-0d67-846a-8fe1-08d222c3e751

Not yet independently audited.

Related: NARROWS outgoing: Not assessed

Why?

Review gaps: independence reviewed

Hide calculation

No probability. This is a value judgment; the system maps its premises but does not assign it a probability.

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:d1045b3e781b68ffff1ca838f1fca0451af6b158ad1061e3dceb74bd75582593

Last changed at entry seq 11216; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

Link	Working	Weight	Counted as
3059de4e support	relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.459000	— (not applicable)
3d8deef5 support	relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.459000	— (not applicable)

prior — → log-odds —

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Evidence for

Anthropic identifies AI-driven disempowerment as a risk that can reduce people’s ability to form beliefs, make values judgments, and act according to their values.

From Disempowerment patterns in real-world AI usage Read 2026-09-28 Relevance MODERATE Steps 1 Counted

Supports the agency-loss risk, but does not establish the claim’s comparative “one of the biggest” ranking or exact one-year horizon.
A 2026 psychology paper says generative AI increasingly influences intention and decision formation upstream, raising agency concerns.

From Reconceptualizing the sense of agency: expanding Decision-level Agency in the era of generative AI Read 2026-09-28 Relevance MODERATE Steps 1 Counted

Supports the agency-risk mechanism, but not the claim’s ranking or precise time window.

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

From	Relationship	To
22c3e751	NARROWS	d6253423

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	yes	81ea70a7
opposing search done	yes	6f8918a8
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	yes	3059de4e, 3d8deef5

Summary

Not assessed. This is a value judgment; the system maps its premises but does not assign it a probability. coverage:4822175c-0d67-846a-8fe1-08d222c3e751

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. 6f8918a8

Review checks: 3 of 4. coverage:4822175c-0d67-846a-8fe1-08d222c3e751

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
3950	APPENDED
3951	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
11215	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "4822175c-0d67-846a-8fe1-08d222c3e751",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "08b3b99d-cd23-8676-b999-b9fd3059de4e",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "not_applicable",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "25e712d0-1764-83dc-9fcc-a6439728b189",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.459000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": null,
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "0e120fa8-d09a-845b-8a38-19773d8deef5",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "not_applicable",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "94afc3ae-19f2-802f-8626-fc7e72059837",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.459000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
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      "interpretive_steps": 1
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": null,
  "variants": null,
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": null,
  "claim_type": "NORMATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": null,
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": null,
  "snapshot_seq": 11216,
  "prior_log_odds": null,
  "support_groups": 0,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.75",
  "truth_evaluable": false,
  "assessment_state": "NOT_APPLICABLE",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0bca2-78e3-7f5e-80b4-9ac581ea70a7"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0bca2-78d3-7621-9234-ad1e6f8918a8"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "08b3b99d-cd23-8676-b999-b9fd3059de4e",
        "0e120fa8-d09a-845b-8a38-19773d8deef5"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": null,
  "not_applicable_reason": "NORMATIVE_OR_VALUE",
  "independence_unreviewed": 2
}