Galedra
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Claim

Trump's end goal is complete control of everything Americans see and hear.

Type INTERPRETIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 5984

Referenced 180 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 177, shared 2. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Government · e82bf250 Media · e82bf250

Assessment

Unresolved

Score: 0.5105 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 2 counted

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 2 of 4 · stability LOW

Main unresolved issue: 2 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:4aeb5c8c-f870-8944-9d4b-28e053339a3d

Not yet independently audited.This assessment depends heavily on modeling choices.

Related: NARROWS incoming: Supported

Why?

Strongest counted support: A First Amendment professor said the outlets were targeted specifically because they engaged in critical coverage. weight 0.042000 evidence

Review gaps: independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Unresolved to Contradicted.

Hide calculation

0.5105 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Unresolved · Review checks: 2 of 4 · stability LOW · 2 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:2f5f90d791ac796742df962db35dd86af3167e483aeb57717949720c15fa8458

Last changed at entry seq 8957; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
f65d4594 support relevance WEAK 0.2 × observation EXPERT_ANALYSIS 0.3 × interpretation 2 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 2 0.700000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.042000 0.042000
4914c032 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000 (non directional)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 0.042000 (the counted weights) = 0.042000 → probability 0.5105

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.5073 to 0.5136, a spread of 0.0063. The result sits on a rounding boundary.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

FromRelationshipTo
ea00d9dbNARROWS53339a3d

Review checklist

Review checks: 2 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyesdc7aa9fb
opposing search doneyese4d5c7ae
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedno

Summary

Unresolved. The main support is: A First Amendment professor said the outlets were targeted specifically because they engaged in critical coverage. bfc25c28

Qualifier: The source explicitly presents the complete-control reading as the author’s interpretation of Trump’s statements and press restrictions. 891f7fd1

A narrower version of this claim is supported. ea00d9db

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. e4d5c7ae

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. e4d5c7ae

Review checks: 2 of 4. coverage:4aeb5c8c-f870-8944-9d4b-28e053339a3d

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
5984APPENDED
5985ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
7798TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
8956TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "4aeb5c8c-f870-8944-9d4b-28e053339a3d",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "2b3ed13b-2b8c-80cc-b468-63b2f65d4594",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "69acf4f4-0dad-8ca0-8153-c4efbfc25c28",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.042000",
      "relevance": "WEAK",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "EXPERT_ANALYSIS",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.042000",
      "interpretive_steps": 2
    },
    {
      "link": "565cdbae-93ab-893b-9f0c-5d084914c032",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "3d9d7ba7-00d2-8a92-a9dc-b1c6891f7fd1",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.000000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "SELF",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0063",
    "permissive": "0.5136",
    "conservative": "0.5073"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "LOW",
  "claim_type": "INTERPRETIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.5105",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "0.042000",
  "snapshot_seq": 8957,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": true,
  "review_coverage": "0.50",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "UNRESOLVED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c6b2-87b3-74a8-b73b-afaedc7aa9fb"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c6b2-87a7-7cc0-a2ff-ad7be4d5c7ae"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": true,
  "posterior_log_odds": "0.042000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 2
}