Claim

Xi Jinping's state visit to the White House is scheduled for September 23-24, 2026, the week after Trump's September 18 remarks.

Type HISTORICAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 5716

a comma-separated series may list several propositions

Referenced 148 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 93, shared 53. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Geopolitics · e82bf250

Assessment

Contradicted

Score: 0.1375 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

4 independent evidence lineages · review checks 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 6 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:4f3c0885-4d66-8886-a83c-5319f5312b2e

Not yet independently audited.Evidence points both ways.A quoted passage from whitehouse.gov was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The White House said Xi Jinping's state visit takes place on Thursday, September 24, 2026. weight 1.800000 evidence

Strongest counted contradiction: The White House schedule places the White House welcome on September 24, with activities and the conclusion on Friday September 25; it does not support a September 23-24 visit window as stated. weight 1.800000 evidence

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.1375 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Contradicted · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 6 sources, 4 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:5a3169f98f4797d54f11c8f583237df6b415f0760b739f463516594c6fc8c88e

Last changed at entry seq 25045; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

Link	Working	Weight	Counted as
cbaa79c4 qualify	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	0.000000 (non directional)
bce0a6b0 contradict	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	1.800000
e0c218cc contradict	relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.918000	0.918000
b9eabc46 support	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	1.800000
94c4561d contradict	relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.918000	0.918000
3b30cd66 qualify	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	0.000000 (non directional)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + -1.836000 (the counted weights) = -1.836000 → probability 0.1375

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.2167 to 0.0842, a spread of 0.1325.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

“Xi Jinping's state visit to the White House is scheduled for September 23-24, 2026, the week after Trump's September 18 remarks.” · 1 claim · 28 September 2026
“A Sept. 18, 2026 newsletter post, "Donald Trump is scared of the truth" by Heather Delaney Reese, reports that Trump used an Oval Office event that afternoon...” · 28 claims · 22 September 2026

Evidence for

The White House said Xi Jinping's state visit takes place on Thursday, September 24, 2026.

From First Lady Melania Trump Releases Details Ahead of Xi Jinping's Visit to The White House Read 2026-09-22 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Evidence against

Reuters reports Xi’s state visit to the United States was scheduled for September 23–25, not September 23–24.

From China's Xi to visit the US from September 23-25 Read 2026-09-28 Relevance STRONG Steps 1 Counted
The Chinese embassy’s official announcement also gives the state-visit dates as September 23–25.

From Xi Jinping to Pay a State Visit to the United States Read 2026-09-28 Relevance STRONG Steps 1 Counted
The White House schedule places the White House welcome on September 24, with activities and the conclusion on Friday September 25; it does not support a September 23-24 visit window as stated.

From First Lady Melania Trump Releases Details Ahead of Xi Jinping's Visit to the White House Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Qualifications

The excerpt supports a White House state visit on Thursday, September 24, 2026, but does not establish a September 23–24 range or the comparison to Trump's September 18 remarks.

From First Lady Melania Trump Releases Details Ahead of Xi Jinping's Visit to The White House Read 2026-09-22 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
The counted White House passage specifies Thursday, September 24, 2026, not a September 23–24 range or the claimed relative timing.

From First Lady Melania Trump Releases Details Ahead of Xi Jinping's Visit to The White House Read 2026-09-22 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

The cited passage narrows the supported date to September 24 and does not establish the other temporal details.

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	yes	24bd87bd
opposing search done	yes	0c0f3c2a
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	yes	e0c218cc

Summary

Contradicted. The main support is: The White House said Xi Jinping's state visit takes place on Thursday, September 24, 2026. 9dfdc4b2

Against that, contradiction: The White House schedule places the White House welcome on September 24, with activities and the conclusion on Friday September 25; it does not support a September 23-24 visit window as stated. 07300f6f

Qualifier: The excerpt supports a White House state visit on Thursday, September 24, 2026, but does not establish a September 23–24 range or the comparison to Trump's September 18 remarks. 37737fb6

Qualifier: The counted White House passage specifies Thursday, September 24, 2026, not a September 23–24 range or the claimed relative timing. 570a2c38

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. 0c0f3c2a

Review checks: 3 of 4. coverage:4f3c0885-4d66-8886-a83c-5319f5312b2e

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
5716	APPENDED
5717	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
5866	LINK_EVIDENCE	by e82bf250 (accepted)
8406	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
11030	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
11433	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
25044	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "4f3c0885-4d66-8886-a83c-5319f5312b2e",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "12ab7664-edb8-858e-a0ed-2a8acbaa79c4",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "081ead07-ec5f-80a0-b395-ccc737737fb6",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "5c95adad-edc2-8a6a-a818-1d09bce0a6b0",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "1408983d-8f17-8fec-a76c-8b3707300f6f",
      "direction": "CONTRADICT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "8d6e94c9-67c6-84db-b9fe-a936e0c218cc",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "e8b8b392-4130-86b8-9c06-1e52005bc763",
      "direction": "CONTRADICT",
      "magnitude": "0.918000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.918000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "95dc7216-3e28-806e-947e-67bbb9eabc46",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "6df7d76c-2c6d-82d8-96e0-28249dfdc4b2",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "f1fd2f50-905e-89fe-bc1e-08db94c4561d",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "bf84b9e3-b478-827a-8afd-f8e1cc00b715",
      "direction": "CONTRADICT",
      "magnitude": "0.918000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.918000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "f253c628-788a-8884-8a78-de393b30cd66",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "6ae0c4b3-6f96-85e0-baad-cbe9570a2c38",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1325",
    "permissive": "0.0842",
    "conservative": "0.2167"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": true,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "HISTORICAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.1375",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "-1.836000",
  "snapshot_seq": 25045,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.75",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "CONTRADICTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c6ae-bb01-7de0-9e18-8f5a24bd87bd"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c6ae-baea-7609-bae4-082b0c0f3c2a"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "8d6e94c9-67c6-84db-b9fe-a936e0c218cc"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 3,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "-1.836000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 6
}