Galedra
Sign in Sign up

Claim

Asked about Xi Jinping's visit and China's record on journalists, Trump said he did not know about that and that the United States is repressive also.

Type TEXTUAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 5708

26 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 131 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 88, shared 42. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Geopolitics · e82bf250 Media · e82bf250

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 3 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:63ba4483-904d-8d66-93b6-6d581ade2abd

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Strongest counted support: Asked about China's record on journalists, Trump said he did not know and that the US is repressive also. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt shows a question about China's press repression and Trump's reply that he did not know, the US is repressive also, and fake news is not repression.

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 3 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:ec5abb6d6affdad901107b93c7d7e147b22962689e001818420f54e2439e03b7

Last changed at entry seq 11112; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
013816cb support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
67b33884 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 013816cb)
29b65c6f qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (non directional)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.800000 (the counted weights) = 1.800000 → probability 0.8581

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7790 to 0.9121, a spread of 0.1331.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
7416e314013816cb

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyescae2f395
opposing search doneyes6f50bbda
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes013816cb, 67b33884, 29b65c6f

Summary

Supported. The main support is: Asked about China's record on journalists, Trump said he did not know and that the US is repressive also. 7ec596fa

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 7416e314

Qualifier: The counted passage addresses China's treatment of journalists but contains no question or answer about Xi Jinping's visit. b1d07700

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. 6f50bbda

Review checks: 3 of 4. coverage:63ba4483-904d-8d66-93b6-6d581ade2abd

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
5708APPENDED
5709ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
5836LINK_EVIDENCEby e82bf250 (accepted)
8888TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
9240TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "63ba4483-904d-8d66-93b6-6d581ade2abd",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "5a91729a-c7cf-843b-a2e5-d95f013816cb",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "b81a1d54-ad0b-8b92-ab08-25cf7ec596fa",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "5a91729a-c7cf-843b-a2e5-d95f013816cb",
      "link": "7388394c-eac5-8869-8f6f-e97067b33884",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "9ba4f67c-f3ea-81a9-9423-f3a07416e314",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "e7485710-0837-8f40-b006-310b29b65c6f",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "e8e9be39-f490-8a71-b24b-52fab1d07700",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1331",
    "permissive": "0.9121",
    "conservative": "0.7790"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "TEXTUAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8581",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 11112,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.75",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c6ae-ba93-7d5a-b682-b834cae2f395"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c6ae-ba78-7a31-8e79-3dc96f50bbda"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "5a91729a-c7cf-843b-a2e5-d95f013816cb",
        "7388394c-eac5-8869-8f6f-e97067b33884",
        "e7485710-0837-8f40-b006-310b29b65c6f"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 3
}