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Claim

At elevations above approximately −2350 m, the Jezero Margin unit has texture and chemistry indicative of slowly cooled crystalline olivine-rich rock without significant water exposure.

Type OBSERVATIONAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 24068 · qualifiers {"location":"Jezero crater, Mars; Margin unit above approximately −2350 m","population":"High-elevation Margin-unit exposures"}

a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 174 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 129, shared 44. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Earth science · 1efd24fe Astronomy and space · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 1 by the author only

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 4 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:68381374-f103-85e4-81a5-e9311768d628

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.A quoted passage from nature.com was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Related: NARROWS incoming: Supported

Why?

Strongest counted support: The abstract distinguishes high-elevation olivine-rich crystalline rock with little water exposure from lower exposures with water-rock interaction. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The quoted passage directly reports that high-elevation Margin-unit exposures above approximately −2350 m have texture and chemistry indicative of slowly cooled crystalline olivine-rich rock without significant water exposure.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 4 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:77a4b15754e798f6bf17a8e538d7856097ec28394314feb6fdf28b19efa959fe

Last changed at entry seq 25712; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
0cae1c20 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
e543d6e1 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (non directional)
fd8ad559 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 0cae1c20)
ef0b19f3 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (non directional)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.800000 (the counted weights) = 1.800000 → probability 0.8581

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7790 to 0.9121, a spread of 0.1331.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
deb500d90cae1c20

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

FromRelationshipTo
7d8d96eaNARROWS1768d628

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes0cae1c20, e543d6e1, fd8ad559, ef0b19f3

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The abstract distinguishes high-elevation olivine-rich crystalline rock with little water exposure from lower exposures with water-rock interaction. c6bd869a

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. deb500d9

Qualifier: The primary article limits the low-water-exposure characterization to Margin-unit exposures above −2350 m and contrasts them with lower exposures showing water-rock interaction. 7e0ea211

Qualifier: The conclusion distinguishes high-elevation ultramafic material from reworked East Margin and polymict North Margin exposures. 34ca17e8

A narrower version of this claim is supported. 7d8d96ea

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:68381374-f103-85e4-81a5-e9311768d628

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
24068APPENDED
24069ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
24086LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
24640TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
25711TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "68381374-f103-85e4-81a5-e9311768d628",
  "links": [
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      "link": "537bac39-accd-8778-b184-16ab0cae1c20",
      "group": null,
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      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "54f7ec22-8fab-8645-922f-75c8e543d6e1",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "d87151b1-b59b-855c-9270-ae9b7e0ea211",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
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      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "537bac39-accd-8778-b184-16ab0cae1c20",
      "link": "c0b8392a-6629-8437-a0ae-5d56fd8ad559",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "73dd4e57-728a-8de8-a6e5-e9bfdeb500d9",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
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      "audit_confirmed": false,
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      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "f9dacc28-a43d-8624-abc8-cf31ef0b19f3",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "b4132def-85e4-8572-aa12-ac8a34ca17e8",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
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      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1331",
    "permissive": "0.9121",
    "conservative": "0.7790"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "OBSERVATIONAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8581",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 25712,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "537bac39-accd-8778-b184-16ab0cae1c20",
        "54f7ec22-8fab-8645-922f-75c8e543d6e1",
        "c0b8392a-6629-8437-a0ae-5d56fd8ad559",
        "f9dacc28-a43d-8624-abc8-cf31ef0b19f3"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 4
}