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Claim

Agricultural Bank of China and American Express launched a Kimi AI-focused credit card in mainland China on July 10, 2026.

Type HISTORICAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 12259

a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 113 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 70, shared 41. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

AI · 1efd24fe Business · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9468 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 2 by the author only

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 4 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:72b59147-48b1-85f6-b756-4d2199fefb28

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.A quoted passage from beijingpost.com and kimi.com was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The official Kimi help page confirms the mainland-only tri-party ABC–American Express card and its July 10, 2026 application launch date. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The passage supports the July 10 mainland-China availability and Agricultural Bank of China role, but does not mention American Express.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans supported.

Hide calculation

0.9468 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability HIGH · 4 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:1a3bb84ee0cf208d3631572ade570be511340aff0e6003646735edd4cdc126f5

Last changed at entry seq 17752; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
fa86b9e6 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (non directional)
309ac418 support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.080000 1.080000
3a8ccc62 support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.540000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 309ac418)
d337246d support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 2.880000 (the counted weights) = 2.880000 → probability 0.9468

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.8825 to 0.9769, a spread of 0.0944.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
797cbd3b309ac418

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyesd337246d

Summary

Supported. The main support is: Beijing Post reports that the Kimi card became available in mainland China on July 10, 2026, with Agricultural Bank of China responsible for the account. d9d57347

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 797cbd3b

Qualifier: The passage gives the date and mainland-China location but leaves launch-stage meaning, eligibility conditions, and the American Express component unspecified. 1acc41c4

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. e1f714db

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:72b59147-48b1-85f6-b756-4d2199fefb28

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
12259APPENDED
12260ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
12265LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
12276TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
12368TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
17751LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "72b59147-48b1-85f6-b756-4d2199fefb28",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "158836fa-e88c-8df4-961e-7830fa86b9e6",
      "group": null,
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      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
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      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "a485a158-f210-8350-b59e-3a90309ac418",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "80b6913b-c3cd-8032-90ab-39bcd9d57347",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.080000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
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      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
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      "interpretive_steps": 0
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    {
      "kept": "a485a158-f210-8350-b59e-3a90309ac418",
      "link": "b8b30356-d17a-8400-89e5-2ee03a8ccc62",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "00b73e20-5c33-8832-a38a-917c797cbd3b",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.540000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
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      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
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      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "bb1ec218-0843-8e67-b6c4-2deed337246d",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "5e213b86-191b-841d-ace6-4a1f064390e2",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0944",
    "permissive": "0.9769",
    "conservative": "0.8825"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "HISTORICAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9468",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "2.880000",
  "snapshot_seq": 17752,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 2,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "bb1ec218-0843-8e67-b6c4-2deed337246d"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "2.880000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 4
}