Claim

Model ledger-default@0.1.0 ledger-strict@0.1.0 ledger-default@0.2.0 ledger-strict@0.2.0 ledger-default@0.3.0 (default) ledger-strict@0.3.0 Snapshot seq

Topics

Archaeology · 1efd24fe Ancient · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Why?

Strongest counted support: The report dates the agricultural phase broadly between the fourth and seventh centuries CE. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt directly dates the agricultural phase broadly between the fourth and seventh centuries CE.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

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Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

• “A 2026 report on research at Antiochia ad Cragum says the Small Bath was later converted into a large wine and olive-oil processing facility, with the...” · 3 claims · 29 September 2026

Evidence for

• The report dates the agricultural phase broadly between the fourth and seventh centuries CE.

  From Ancient Roman bathhouse in Turkey was turned into a wine and olive oil factory Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

• The excerpt directly dates the agricultural phase broadly between the fourth and seventh centuries CE.

  From Ancient Roman bathhouse in Turkey was turned into a wine and olive oil factory Read 2026-09-29 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

  The passage exactly matches the claimed date range.

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

Evidence	Group	Kept instead
5b606e62		3d1c764d

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 0 of 4

3 checks by this claim's own author. No independent review yet. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	no

Summary

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
22350	APPENDED
22351	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
22366	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)
24227	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "80587ebc-27db-86e3-b40f-41e1287b63e9",
  "links": [
    {
      "kept": "892c7ea4-acad-89f7-8521-abaa3d1c764d",
      "link": "5c7ee56f-7fb4-8ba8-804a-ccb993b26389",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "7ee6fe8d-9b93-80a0-a71a-4c3d5b606e62",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "892c7ea4-acad-89f7-8521-abaa3d1c764d",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "d866abca-0174-85a3-870e-c048a7388071",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "ARCHAEOLOGICAL",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1331",
    "permissive": "0.9121",
    "conservative": "0.7790"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "HISTORICAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8581",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 25886,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.00",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 2
}