Galedra
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Claim

Asked what the ban means in practice, Trump replied "which ban?" and said he has more bans going than any human being.

Type TEXTUAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 5704

a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 108 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 65, shared 42. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Media · e82bf250

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 2 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:83cf3060-0fc7-8277-9512-08b0bcc1c4ea

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Strongest counted support: Asked what the ban meant in practice, Trump answered which ban, then said he has more bans than anyone. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt shows a reporter asking what the ban means in practice, then Trump asking which ban and saying he has more bans going than any human being.

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 2 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:5e3d0ca017c5dd8aa1ad755543797110f1f803bfaf79aca222e47dd771e91db0

Last changed at entry seq 11090; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
e53705bf support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
953383c8 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept e53705bf)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.800000 (the counted weights) = 1.800000 → probability 0.8581

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7790 to 0.9121, a spread of 0.1331.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
ed1db967e53705bf

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyesd321aa14
opposing search doneyes76a80ca2
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyese53705bf, 953383c8

Summary

Supported. The main support is: Asked what the ban meant in practice, Trump answered which ban, then said he has more bans than anyone. 4880e628

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. ed1db967

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. 76a80ca2

Review checks: 3 of 4. coverage:83cf3060-0fc7-8277-9512-08b0bcc1c4ea

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
5704APPENDED
5705ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
5824LINK_EVIDENCEby e82bf250 (accepted)
8876TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "83cf3060-0fc7-8277-9512-08b0bcc1c4ea",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "24896864-69d5-8622-aaac-cba0e53705bf",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "4f7fbbab-cfde-8f25-a15e-2d5a4880e628",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "24896864-69d5-8622-aaac-cba0e53705bf",
      "link": "e7f5cd43-cfcb-8d38-bb36-dbc8953383c8",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "3c4aab87-b3de-82e1-9b6b-65c3ed1db967",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1331",
    "permissive": "0.9121",
    "conservative": "0.7790"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "TEXTUAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8581",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 11090,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.75",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c6ae-ba5a-7861-acae-ca85d321aa14"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c6ae-ba3f-762b-a2a7-611676a80ca2"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "24896864-69d5-8622-aaac-cba0e53705bf",
        "e7f5cd43-cfcb-8d38-bb36-dbc8953383c8"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 2
}