Galedra
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Claim

Passenger trains through the Alps top out at 250 km/h (155 mph).

Type QUANTITATIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 7418

Referenced 168 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 66, shared 101. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Not filed under any topic yet.

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 2 counted

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 2 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 2 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:870cbfe8-5259-8d13-96a8-797f48a8f3b6

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage from en.wikipedia.org was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Related: NARROWS incoming: Supported

Why?

Strongest counted support: Table lists passenger maximum technical speed as 250 km/h (155 mph). weight 1.800000 evidence

Review gaps: independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 2 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 2 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:dafacf5bf9ed1d629b145b099bfb6f387eccf55a3913d893b949696cfdc3b551

Last changed at entry seq 9013; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
1534b8e0 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.530000 0.000000 (non directional)
4d5a4026 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.800000 (the counted weights) = 1.800000 → probability 0.8581

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7790 to 0.9121, a spread of 0.1331.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

FromRelationshipTo
a70d96fcNARROWS48a8f3b6

Review checklist

Review checks: 2 of 4

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyese43b9ab2
opposing search doneyesa61740ef
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedno

Summary

Supported. The main support is: Table lists passenger maximum technical speed as 250 km/h (155 mph). 576dff7b

Qualifier: Gotthard tunnel passenger trains run 200 km/h in service, 250 km/h maximum. 372b6ee5

A narrower version of this claim is supported. a70d96fc

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. a61740ef

Review checks: 2 of 4. coverage:870cbfe8-5259-8d13-96a8-797f48a8f3b6

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
7418APPENDED
7419ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
7432LINK_EVIDENCEby 8b5e81bf (accepted)
7750TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "870cbfe8-5259-8d13-96a8-797f48a8f3b6",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "3e977af0-e819-84b1-b77c-f2d21534b8e0",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "001cd835-5085-89b2-b363-b464372b6ee5",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "1.530000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "7db92cdb-295e-8ad2-9ec7-62824d5a4026",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "44bccade-4752-8c00-9c76-d4c3576dff7b",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1331",
    "permissive": "0.9121",
    "conservative": "0.7790"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8581",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 9013,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.50",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0cb3a-9cf9-7361-9e5e-3ff1e43b9ab2"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0cb3a-9ce7-70ef-b908-5bd2a61740ef"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 2
}