Galedra
Sign in Sign up

Claim

Trump's aim in banning news outlets is complete control of what Americans see and hear.

Type INTERPRETIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 5772

Referenced 120 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 77, shared 42. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Media · e82bf250 Government · e82bf250

Assessment

Unresolved

Score: 0.5315 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 2 counted

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 2 of 4 · stability LOW

Main unresolved issue: 1 counted evidence item has no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:908e780a-fac0-8235-964f-130218f3814e

Not yet independently audited.This assessment depends heavily on modeling choices.

Why?

Strongest counted support: Trump said the outlets wrote negative news to diminish Republicans and a Republican administration. weight 0.126000 evidence

Review gaps: independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Unresolved to Contradicted.

Hide calculation

0.5315 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Unresolved · Review checks: 2 of 4 · stability LOW · 1 source, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:2db13f4f26e039750a01e2f27690660163eed065c4d96630faf24672fde82239

Last changed at entry seq 8961; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
0438cad0 support relevance WEAK 0.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 2 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 2 0.700000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.126000 0.126000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 0.126000 (the counted weights) = 0.126000 → probability 0.5315

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.5220 to 0.5409, a spread of 0.0189.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 2 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes831ca593
opposing search doneyesab909446
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedno

Summary

Unresolved. The main support is: Trump said the outlets wrote negative news to diminish Republicans and a Republican administration. 9c9b0d20

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. ab909446

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. ab909446

Review checks: 2 of 4. coverage:908e780a-fac0-8235-964f-130218f3814e

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
5772APPENDED
5773ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
8960TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "908e780a-fac0-8235-964f-130218f3814e",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "9844c430-a48d-8590-9a79-e5d30438cad0",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "ad08db76-ecc1-8f1c-b5be-12bc9c9b0d20",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.126000",
      "relevance": "WEAK",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.126000",
      "interpretive_steps": 2
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0189",
    "permissive": "0.5409",
    "conservative": "0.5220"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "LOW",
  "claim_type": "INTERPRETIVE",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.5315",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "0.126000",
  "snapshot_seq": 8961,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": true,
  "review_coverage": "0.50",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "UNRESOLVED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c6ae-be61-756b-bc94-3f77831ca593"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c6ae-be1d-7bc0-98a8-ac1dab909446"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "0.126000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 1
}