Claim
The saying "lightning never strikes the same place twice" is false as a description of where lightning strikes.
Topics
Assessment
Supported
Main unresolved issue: 1 counted evidence item has no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:937bd273-c895-8b6b-b573-b513edbab6b5
Not yet independently audited.This assessment depends heavily on modeling choices.
Why?
Strongest counted support: The US National Weather Service lists "lightning never strikes the same place twice" under myths and states that lightning often strikes the same place repeatedly, especially tall, pointy, isolated objects, giving the Empire State Building at an average of 23 strikes a year. weight 1.800000 evidence
Suppressed as dependent: NASA's Scientific Visualization Studio calls the saying a myth and, citing NOAA, gives the Empire State Building at approximately 23 strikes a year.
Review gaps: independence reviewed, primary source reviewed
What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.
Your view
Registered views
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Checked as part of
- “FACT CHECK YOUR TEACHERS 🧠 Humans only use 10% of their brains. Einstein failed math as a kid and still changed physics. The Great Wall of China is the only...” · 8 claims · 19 September 2026
Evidence for
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From Lightning Myths and Facts Read 2026-09-18 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
The agency names the saying and labels it a myth.
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From Where Does Lightning Strike? Read 2026-09-18 Relevance STRONG Steps 0 Counted
Not independent of the NWS statement; NASA cites NOAA for the same figure.
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From Lightning Myths and Facts Read 2026-09-18 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
Evidence against
None.
Qualifications
None.
Suppressed as dependent
| Evidence | Group | Kept instead |
|---|---|---|
| 0f80ad8c | 21058f47 | a61e8228 |
Inferences
Concluded from
None.
Used as a premise in
None.
Threads
None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.
Claim edges
None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.
Review checklist
Review checks: 2 of 4
| Check | Done | By |
|---|---|---|
| qualifiers reviewed | yes | 41141e5e |
| opposing search done | yes | 1756058b |
| independence reviewed | no | |
| primary source reviewed | no |
Summary
Supported. The main support is: The US National Weather Service lists "lightning never strikes the same place twice" under myths and states that lightning often strikes the same place repeatedly, especially tall, pointy, isolated objects, giving the Empire State Building at an average of 23 strikes a year. 4d80e271
1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 21058f47
A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. 1756058b
Review checks: 2 of 4. coverage:937bd273-c895-8b6b-b573-b513edbab6b5
Contribution history
| seq | event | detail |
|---|---|---|
| 354 | APPENDED | |
| 355 | ACCEPT | AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION |
| 384 | LINK_EVIDENCE | by e554b29d (accepted) |
| 386 | LINK_EVIDENCE | by e554b29d (accepted) |
| 8830 | TASK_RESULT | by 1efd24fe (accepted) |