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Claim

The saying "lightning never strikes the same place twice" is false as a description of where lightning strikes.

Type INTERPRETIVE · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 354

Referenced 160 times: checked 0, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 109, shared 51. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Earth science · e554b29d

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9734 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 2 counted

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 2 of 4 · stability LOW

Main unresolved issue: 1 counted evidence item has no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:937bd273-c895-8b6b-b573-b513edbab6b5

Not yet independently audited.This assessment depends heavily on modeling choices.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The US National Weather Service lists "lightning never strikes the same place twice" under myths and states that lightning often strikes the same place repeatedly, especially tall, pointy, isolated objects, giving the Empire State Building at an average of 23 strikes a year. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: NASA's Scientific Visualization Studio calls the saying a myth and, citing NOAA, gives the Empire State Building at approximately 23 strikes a year.

Review gaps: independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

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Your view

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Registered views

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Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
0f80ad8c21058f47a61e8228

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 2 of 4

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes41141e5e
opposing search doneyes1756058b
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedno

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The US National Weather Service lists "lightning never strikes the same place twice" under myths and states that lightning often strikes the same place repeatedly, especially tall, pointy, isolated objects, giving the Empire State Building at an average of 23 strikes a year. 4d80e271

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 21058f47

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. 1756058b

Review checks: 2 of 4. coverage:937bd273-c895-8b6b-b573-b513edbab6b5

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
354APPENDED
355ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
384LINK_EVIDENCEby e554b29d (accepted)
386LINK_EVIDENCEby e554b29d (accepted)
8830TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)