Claim

Model ledger-default@0.1.0 ledger-strict@0.1.0 ledger-default@0.2.0 ledger-strict@0.2.0 ledger-default@0.3.0 (default) ledger-strict@0.3.0 Snapshot seq

Topics

Not filed under any topic yet.

Assessment

Why?

Strongest counted contradiction: Independent reporting attributes Altman's November 2023 removal to a breakdown in communication, not to fear of the later-named Strawberry project; it does not support the claimed causal explanation. weight 0.459000 evidence

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Leans contradicted to Supported.

Hide calculation

Your view

Registered views

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

• “Blundin said that after GPT-4 came out, Sam Altman got fired out of fear from Strawberry and then came back.” · 1 claim · 28 September 2026

Evidence for

None.

Evidence against

• Independent reporting attributes Altman's November 2023 removal to a breakdown in communication, not to fear of the later-named Strawberry project; it does not support the claimed causal explanation.

  From Inside Sam Altman’s Shock Ouster From OpenAI Read 2026-09-28 Relevance MODERATE Steps 1 Counted

  The report predates the Strawberry name but directly addresses the board's stated reason for the removal.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

From	Relationship	To
fad9f870	NARROWS	43a7ef2a

Review checklist

Review checks: 0 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author. No independent review yet. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	no

Summary

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
8410	APPENDED
8411	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
11544	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "a0cd34db-8bb3-87aa-a55d-1cc6fad9f870",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "5adfdf80-d26b-8cc4-9879-281c84388f2f",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "ee332ba7-461d-894b-a17e-563751bf2377",
      "direction": "CONTRADICT",
      "magnitude": "0.459000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.459000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0653",
    "permissive": "0.3551",
    "conservative": "0.4204"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "TEXTUAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.3872",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "-0.459000",
  "snapshot_seq": 11545,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 0,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.00",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "LEANS_CONTRADICTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 1,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "-0.459000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 1
}