Galedra
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Claim

Breitbart News is co-owned by the Mercer family.

Type OBSERVATIONAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 6038

Referenced 105 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 102, shared 2. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Media · e82bf250 Business · e82bf250

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 2 counted

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 2 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 6 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:ae35dbb5-83c1-8317-a2fe-6983dcd501ab

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage from nbcnews.com was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The excerpt states that members of the Mercer family were investors in Breitbart, directly supporting the ownership claim. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: Breitbart's chief executive confirmed the Mercer family are among the site's owners.

Review gaps: independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 2 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 6 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:02186194302e3a6ea3a416aa575b8d13f46f09e3ad312d3002afd884595db6da

Last changed at entry seq 11187; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
daeb9e5f support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.080000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept d890f276)
ab5f73a1 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.530000 0.000000 (non directional)
50a6da30 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (non directional)
a7ce2036 qualify relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.459000 0.000000 (non directional)
d890f276 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
63e31193 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.530000 0.000000 (non directional)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.800000 (the counted weights) = 1.800000 → probability 0.8581

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7790 to 0.9121, a spread of 0.1331.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
f2640188d890f276

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 2 of 4

1 check by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes884047e9
opposing search doneyes0212f6ec
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedno

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The excerpt states that members of the Mercer family were investors in Breitbart, directly supporting the ownership claim. e4cad3ad

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. f2640188

Qualifier: The passage says the Mercer family were among investors but does not specify their members, ownership share, or current status. 6feb3ed9

Qualifier: The passage says Mercer family members were investors, which stops short of the claimed co-ownership. e1a138ff

Qualifier: Robert Mercer backed Trump's bid and sold his Breitbart stake; Bannon called Breitbart a platform for the alt-right. 84537a35

Qualifier: The counted evidence says Robert Mercer was selling his Breitbart stake, qualifying an unbounded present-tense ownership claim. 573c3176

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
6038APPENDED
6039ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
6240LINK_EVIDENCEby e82bf250 (accepted)
6242LINK_EVIDENCEby e82bf250 (accepted)
6684TASK_RESULTby 8b5e81bf (accepted)
8318TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
9076TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "ae35dbb5-83c1-8317-a2fe-6983dcd501ab",
  "links": [
    {
      "kept": "a635d966-c0a1-8074-b937-5cbbd890f276",
      "link": "0f70e10a-0ac2-85cf-b63f-b420daeb9e5f",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "f2a31115-77b5-8279-989f-49edf2640188",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.080000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "425d74f3-c019-852a-9e06-a505ab5f73a1",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
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      "evidence": "7684658c-9e9d-8153-bf9a-e22f6feb3ed9",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "1.530000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
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      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "4506287e-6586-8f40-abbf-ad4250a6da30",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "19e4f675-bf4d-8c41-a912-9b43e1a138ff",
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      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
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      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
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      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "5d6e3bb2-4af4-810a-8971-07c4a7ce2036",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "0b54e18a-76ed-855b-983d-8b5384537a35",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.459000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "a635d966-c0a1-8074-b937-5cbbd890f276",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "33a959a0-8301-8733-a9f8-930be4cad3ad",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "c552ac07-a045-81e4-916b-ca8f63e31193",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "99f3b666-5316-8fc0-b5ad-fbad573c3176",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "1.530000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1331",
    "permissive": "0.9121",
    "conservative": "0.7790"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "OBSERVATIONAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8581",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 11187,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.50",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c6b2-89aa-75f6-a55e-3c04884047e9"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
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        "01a0c6b2-8993-7cce-baeb-f27c0212f6ec"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
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      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 6
}