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Claim

Emad Mostaque's Champion proposal allocates 10% of a local AI and robotics company's equity to residents under 21 and issues additional equity to children born later.

Type OBSERVATIONAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 5547

26 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 195 times: checked 3, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 107, shared 85. A count of attention, not evidence.

Revises Emad Mostaque put forward a Champion proposal in which every child owns equity in the robots at a nominal pre-money valuation. · reason: The proposal specifies equity in the locally owned Champion company, with 10% allocated to under-21 residents and annual issuance for children born later; 'every child owns equity in the robots' and a single nominal valuation obscure these terms.

Topics

Not filed under any topic yet.

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9970 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

1 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted

4 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 4 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:bdaf0f84-7059-8432-8eb2-052b9113cc3d

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.A quoted passage from aisocratic.org was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Strongest counted support: Independent reporting describes the Champion proposal's 10% child-equity trust and annual 0.5% newborn-cohort allocation. weight 1.800000 evidence

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9970 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability HIGH · 4 sources, 4 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:6ba81d45bc36f7768e208cf02948a6e81338919c44513316b1fa018766488782

Last changed at entry seq 15791; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
6118da72 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
18536bdc support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation EYEWITNESS 0.4 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.408000 0.408000
82756955 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
76a7f590 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 5.808000 (the counted weights) = 5.808000 → probability 0.9970

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9831 to 0.9995, a spread of 0.0164.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

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Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes82756955, 76a7f590

Summary

Supported. The main support is: Independent reporting describes the Champion proposal's 10% child-equity trust and annual 0.5% newborn-cohort allocation. 920fee5f

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:bdaf0f84-7059-8432-8eb2-052b9113cc3d

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
5547APPENDED
5548ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
5549LINK_EVIDENCEby 56fe4c61 (accepted)
5557LINK_EVIDENCEby 56fe4c61 (accepted)
5564LINK_EVIDENCEby 56fe4c61 (accepted)
15790LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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  "claim": "bdaf0f84-7059-8432-8eb2-052b9113cc3d",
  "links": [
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      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
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      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "4fd65b5e-b0bc-8d6c-986c-896118536bdc",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "2d3fdd5c-8c68-809a-98a3-6d9912a8c706",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.408000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
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      "source_type": "VIDEO",
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      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "6e014c2a-463e-84a3-9e83-7e3082756955",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "e0d39b62-8732-8060-a6d8-2180927171b1",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
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      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
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    },
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      "link": "ec69a46e-b1f2-880b-82c6-c3bb76a7f590",
      "group": null,
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      "evidence": "96ef02c8-d7aa-8fef-8b60-668135e3259e",
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      "audit_confirmed": false,
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      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0164",
    "permissive": "0.9995",
    "conservative": "0.9831"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "OBSERVATIONAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9970",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "5.808000",
  "snapshot_seq": 15791,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 4,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.25",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
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        "ec69a46e-b1f2-880b-82c6-c3bb76a7f590"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "5.808000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 4
}