Galedra
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Claim

The Soviet Union's newspaper named Truth printed only what the Kremlin approved, and journalists who refused to go along with the propaganda were imprisoned or killed.

Type HISTORICAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 5988

26 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 158 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 155, shared 2. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Modern · e82bf250 Media · e82bf250

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9920 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 2 counted

5 independent evidence lineages · review checks 2 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 6 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:c7b0983c-fd04-8b75-81f4-bcc3843c3f44

Not yet independently audited.

Related: NARROWS incoming: Supported

Why?

Strongest counted support: Pravda ('Truth') was the official organ of the Soviet Communist Party from 1918 to 1991, promoting the party line. weight 1.800000 evidence

Review gaps: independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9920 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 2 of 4 · stability HIGH · 6 sources, 5 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:315442de887100d65549a8a1537da0cba1f730ba8b5e694179e6ff863441388d

Last changed at entry seq 8977; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
f02529d5 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
db8ae054 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
3cc8cc62 support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.459000 0.459000
b6ee46a9 support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.459000 0.459000
6936f1e5 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (non directional)
01390c45 support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation EXPERT_ANALYSIS 0.3 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.306000 0.306000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 4.824000 (the counted weights) = 4.824000 → probability 0.9920

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9670 to 0.9981, a spread of 0.0311.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

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Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

FromRelationshipTo
a302b758NARROWS843c3f44

Review checklist

Review checks: 2 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyesd81b0ef6
opposing search doneyesdc7cc758
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedno

Summary

Supported. The main support is: Pravda ('Truth') was the official organ of the Soviet Communist Party from 1918 to 1991, promoting the party line. 295b4c44

Qualifier: The source gives a period-specific account of Pravda's relationship to Stalin and identifies its stated audience and role, without supporting the target's universal wording or the journalist-punishment clause. 28fd13f5

A narrower version of this claim is supported. a302b758

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. dc7cc758

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. dc7cc758

Review checks: 2 of 4. coverage:c7b0983c-fd04-8b75-81f4-bcc3843c3f44

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
5988APPENDED
5989ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
7132TASK_RESULTby 8b5e81bf (accepted)
7800TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
8976TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "c7b0983c-fd04-8b75-81f4-bcc3843c3f44",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "3a054b79-a139-85e4-9386-990af02529d5",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "1e07699d-dac3-8b1d-8f6a-ad1e295b4c44",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "3d7820a4-c0c9-8811-b238-f1f8db8ae054",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "869a071d-af8f-80ad-88e0-c6a2d701f3a6",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
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      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "8238345f-11e9-88f2-bf2d-670e3cc8cc62",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "2e87a4a7-e411-8c65-bdfc-966aec949fad",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.459000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.459000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "9b4e4547-2aac-8e32-a6a2-e4d3b6ee46a9",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "b34d03b7-26ea-8446-8bb6-6b9eb5a94ebf",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.459000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.459000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "b1f6a9ef-3322-8137-9fff-0b5b6936f1e5",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "16ddc6d3-ca89-837c-b5bc-16df28fd13f5",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "d62ee90c-ec68-860c-9a8f-18ca01390c45",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "7b014f20-4ae2-8310-b875-61bc4b2d288f",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "0.306000",
      "relevance": "STRONG",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "EXPERT_ANALYSIS",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.306000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0311",
    "permissive": "0.9981",
    "conservative": "0.9670"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "HISTORICAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9920",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "4.824000",
  "snapshot_seq": 8977,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 5,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.50",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c6b2-87ce-702a-b93f-7864d81b0ef6"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c6b2-87c0-71a3-ad00-746adc7cc758"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "4.824000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 6
}