Galedra
Claim
Ashcombe prohibits cycling on the Market Street pedestrian mall on Saturday daytimes during the December market season.
Topics
Assessment
Supported
Main unresolved issue: 2 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:d29efe59-99e8-812d-80c2-8b8e2485439c
Not yet independently audited; some evidence was recorded by an anonymous contributor.
Why?
Strongest counted support: Motion 14 prohibits cycling only on the Market Street mall on Saturday daytimes in the December market season; bicycles may be walked. weight 1.800000 evidence
Suppressed as dependent: Cycling is prohibited on the Market Street pedestrian mall between 10:00 and 18:00 on Saturdays during the December market season.
Review gaps: independence reviewed
What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.
0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 2 sources, 1 independent lineage
How the number was reached
| Link | Working | Weight | Counted as |
|---|---|---|---|
| c6371a22 support | relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 1.800000 | 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 337cb774) |
| 337cb774 support | relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 | 1.800000 | 1.800000 |
prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.800000 (the counted weights) = 1.800000 → probability 0.8581
Your view
Registered views
Nobody has registered a view yet.
Evidence for
-
From Ashcombe Town Council minutes, 3 September 2026 Read 2026-09-18 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
-
From Ashcombe Town Council minutes, 3 September 2026 Read 2026-09-18 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted
Evidence against
None.
Qualifications
None.
Suppressed as dependent
| Evidence | Group | Kept instead |
|---|---|---|
| 6f1a49d4 | 337cb774 |
Inferences
Concluded from
None.
Used as a premise in
None.
Threads
None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.
Claim edges
None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.
Review checklist
Review checks: 3 of 4
| Check | Done | By |
|---|---|---|
| qualifiers reviewed | yes | 806d1352 |
| opposing search done | yes | e02aeb4d |
| independence reviewed | no | |
| primary source reviewed | yes | c6371a22, 337cb774 |
Summary
Supported. The main support is: Motion 14 prohibits cycling only on the Market Street mall on Saturday daytimes in the December market season; bicycles may be walked. d3f6d4e2
1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 6f1a49d4
A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. e02aeb4d
Review checks: 3 of 4. coverage:d29efe59-99e8-812d-80c2-8b8e2485439c
Contribution history
| seq | event | detail |
|---|---|---|
| 179 | APPENDED | |
| 180 | ACCEPT | AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION |
| 187 | LINK_EVIDENCE | by eb3bac87 (accepted) |
| 7108 | TASK_RESULT | by 8b5e81bf (accepted) |
Score trace
{
"claim": "d29efe59-99e8-812d-80c2-8b8e2485439c",
"links": [
{
"kept": "cd56ed42-8e7f-8946-9146-b99c337cb774",
"link": "434efc95-f01a-8f2b-bad3-55e5c6371a22",
"group": null,
"reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
"edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
"evidence": "7c3e685f-4d3b-850b-9d8b-a57b6f1a49d4",
"direction": "SUPPORT",
"magnitude": "1.800000",
"relevance": "DIRECT",
"extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
"provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
"observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
"source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
"authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
"audit_confirmed": false,
"effective_weight": "0.000000",
"interpretive_steps": 0
},
{
"link": "cd56ed42-8e7f-8946-9146-b99c337cb774",
"group": null,
"edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
"evidence": "3334d75d-2d54-8691-b079-cffad3f6d4e2",
"direction": "SUPPORT",
"magnitude": "1.800000",
"relevance": "DIRECT",
"extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
"provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
"observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
"source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
"authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
"audit_confirmed": false,
"effective_weight": "1.800000",
"interpretive_steps": 0
}
],
"model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
"prior": "0.50",
"variants": {
"spread": "0.1331",
"permissive": "0.9121",
"conservative": "0.7790"
},
"code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
"contested": false,
"stability": "MEDIUM",
"claim_type": "TEXTUAL",
"config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
"probability": "0.8581",
"provisional": true,
"evidence_sum": "1.800000",
"snapshot_seq": 10875,
"prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
"support_groups": 1,
"model_dependent": false,
"review_coverage": "0.75",
"truth_evaluable": true,
"assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
"review_checklist": {
"qualifiers_reviewed": {
"by": [
"01a0b5f9-3570-79fb-958d-21df806d1352"
],
"ok": true
},
"opposing_search_done": {
"by": [
"01a0b5f9-3561-7114-8a41-ed17e02aeb4d"
],
"ok": true
},
"independence_reviewed": {
"by": [],
"ok": false
},
"primary_source_reviewed": {
"by": [
"434efc95-f01a-8f2b-bad3-55e5c6371a22",
"cd56ed42-8e7f-8946-9146-b99c337cb774"
],
"ok": true
}
},
"contradict_groups": 0,
"rounding_boundary": false,
"posterior_log_odds": "1.800000",
"not_applicable_reason": null,
"independence_unreviewed": 2
}