Claim

Donald Trump leaked the planted false intelligence from France and Ukraine to Vladimir Putin.

Type HISTORICAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 6315

a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 132 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 90, shared 41. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Geopolitics · 56fe4c61 Government · 56fe4c61

Assessment

Contradicted

Score: 0.1419 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 2 counted

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 2 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 4 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:d944e431-e58e-83d3-b490-81beec7206ce

Not yet independently audited.Every quoted passage was confirmed on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted contradiction: The excerpt states that there have been no confirmed reports of the United States passing intelligence to Russia, which does not support the claim that Trump leaked intelligence to Putin. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The passage says there have been no confirmed reports of the US passing intelligence to Russia.; Kyiv Post reported no confirmed cases of the United States passing intelligence to Russia.

Review gaps: independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that supports this claim would move it from Contradicted to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.1419 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Contradicted · Review checks: 2 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 4 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:a870f4a93ecabbcd6ff7483287c917448509ba7e53a7a34788a069e1954c67e5

Last changed at entry seq 10855; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

Link	Working	Weight	Counted as
3c60c276 contradict	relevance WEAK 0.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.180000	0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 294fa55f)
5aa5ff00 qualify	relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.459000	0.000000 (non directional)
d1cc2f13 contradict	relevance WEAK 0.2 × observation EXPERT_ANALYSIS 0.3 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	0.051000	0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 294fa55f)
294fa55f contradict	relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1	1.800000	1.800000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + -1.800000 (the counted weights) = -1.800000 → probability 0.1419

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.2210 to 0.0879, a spread of 0.1331.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

“France and Ukraine fed Trump false intelligence to test whether he would leak it to Putin—and he did.” · 3 claims · 22 September 2026

Evidence for

None.

Evidence against

Kyiv Post reported no confirmed cases of the United States passing intelligence to Russia.

From FACT-CHECK: Did Ukraine Run Sting on US Intel to Catch Russia Leaks? Read 2026-09-22 Relevance WEAK Steps 1 Counted

Absence of confirmed reporting does not prove no leak occurred, but it undercuts the categorical viral assertion.
The passage says there have been no confirmed reports of the US passing intelligence to Russia.

From FACT-CHECK: Did Ukraine Run Sting on US Intel to Catch Russia Leaks? Read 2026-09-22 Relevance WEAK Steps 0 Counted

Absence of confirmed reports weighs against the claimed leak without disproving it.
The excerpt states that there have been no confirmed reports of the United States passing intelligence to Russia, which does not support the claim that Trump leaked intelligence to Putin.

From FACT-CHECK: Did Ukraine Run Sting on US Intel to Catch Russia Leaks? Read 2026-09-22 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Qualifications

Crouzet denied saying Ukraine sent false intelligence and said he inferred only that Ukrainians feared U.S.-side leaks.

From Fact Check: French Channel LCI Did NOT Report Ukraine Sent False Strategic Info To US -- Clip Only Mentioned 'Leaks' To Moscow Read 2026-09-22 Relevance MODERATE Steps 1 Counted

Crouzet described Ukrainian fears of possible leaks, not proof that Trump leaked planted information to Putin.

Suppressed as dependent

Evidence	Group	Kept instead
889b2717		294fa55f
bbc6c6f8		294fa55f

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 2 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	yes	555837e9
opposing search done	yes	84422b6d
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	no

Summary

Contradicted. The main contradiction is: The excerpt states that there have been no confirmed reports of the United States passing intelligence to Russia, which does not support the claim that Trump leaked intelligence to Putin. e2f54e19

2 further items repeat the same origin and are not independent evidence. 889b2717bbc6c6f8

Qualifier: Crouzet denied saying Ukraine sent false intelligence and said he inferred only that Ukrainians feared U.S.-side leaks. e15ec300

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. 84422b6d

Review checks: 2 of 4. coverage:d944e431-e58e-83d3-b490-81beec7206ce

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
6315	APPENDED
6316	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
6331	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 56fe4c61 (accepted)
6335	LINK_EVIDENCE	by 56fe4c61 (accepted)
6516	TASK_RESULT	by 8b5e81bf (accepted)
8110	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "d944e431-e58e-83d3-b490-81beec7206ce",
  "links": [
    {
      "kept": "e4c9bac0-8861-88c0-aaa5-8fd1294fa55f",
      "link": "145c0a81-741d-837e-b3b0-8e673c60c276",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "15ef1959-f2ab-85ee-8238-a9ca889b2717",
      "direction": "CONTRADICT",
      "magnitude": "0.180000",
      "relevance": "WEAK",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "16aee04a-bdb3-8888-a823-547f5aa5ff00",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "199d6c58-5967-861c-8c1b-9629e15ec300",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "0.459000",
      "relevance": "MODERATE",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "kept": "e4c9bac0-8861-88c0-aaa5-8fd1294fa55f",
      "link": "ca2c6713-f789-8786-a8f7-ba7fd1cc2f13",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "244818ec-7dba-8cbd-8e7b-e203bbc6c6f8",
      "direction": "CONTRADICT",
      "magnitude": "0.051000",
      "relevance": "WEAK",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "EXPERT_ANALYSIS",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 1
    },
    {
      "link": "e4c9bac0-8861-88c0-aaa5-8fd1294fa55f",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "14afb36a-4c0d-80e3-bfe3-91efe2f54e19",
      "direction": "CONTRADICT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1331",
    "permissive": "0.0879",
    "conservative": "0.2210"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "HISTORICAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.1419",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "-1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 10855,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 0,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.50",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "CONTRADICTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c8f7-48a9-7f81-8864-b404555837e9"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c8f7-4895-7d0d-aa54-436084422b6d"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 1,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "-1.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 4
}