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Claim

AFP's Danny Kemp asked Trump what signal the ban sent given Xi Jinping's White House visit in the coming weeks and China's record on journalists.

Type OBSERVATIONAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 6058

a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 150 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 1, viewed 109, shared 38. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Geopolitics · e82bf250 Media · e82bf250

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8233 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

3 independent evidence lineages · review checks 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 6 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:e09e2ff6-6cee-8bd4-a424-8a322d783d84

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage from mediaite.com was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The excerpt labels the speaker KEMP, mentions Xi coming next week and China’s record for journalists, and asks what signal it sends, but does not identify AFP or fully state the ban context. weight 0.540000 evidence

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Leans contradicted.

Hide calculation

0.8233 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 6 sources, 3 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:de2f485dedb77d090d4ff44c6ea01e7520fd0d394f3c5a223c2e89ab5c7fd83c

Last changed at entry seq 15494; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
ffdac701 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.530000 0.000000 (non directional)
d9f22471 support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 1 step, 1 − 0.15 × 1 0.850000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.459000 0.459000
fbf203c8 support relevance STRONG 1.2 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance SELF 0.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.000000 0.000000
1fed7251 support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.540000 0.540000
fc407466 support relevance MODERATE 0.6 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 0.540000 0.540000
840a56a3 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (non directional)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.539000 (the counted weights) = 1.539000 → probability 0.8233

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7460 to 0.8809, a spread of 0.1349.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes734461a0
opposing search doneyesf65bd66d
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyesffdac701, 1fed7251, 840a56a3

Summary

Supported. The main support is: Mediaite independently confirms the timing, subject, and wording of the question about what signal Xi’s visit sent given China’s treatment of journalists, supporting the substance of the AFP-question claim although it does not identify the reporter as Danny Kemp. 5786dcd9

Qualifier: Kemp said Xi is coming next week; Trump said the United States is repressive also but does not repress. 1377e86e

Qualifier: The passage shows Kemp asking about the signal sent given Xi's visit next week and China's journalist repression, but names neither AFP nor Danny. d3a6b5b7

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found something; see the counted evidence. f65bd66d

Review checks: 3 of 4. coverage:e09e2ff6-6cee-8bd4-a424-8a322d783d84

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
6058APPENDED
6059ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
6252LINK_EVIDENCEby e82bf250 (accepted)
6572TASK_RESULTby 8b5e81bf (accepted)
8202TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
10581TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
11955LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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