Checked, not settled
The evidence goes against this.
“Polymarket put the probability of GPT-6.1's release at 48 per cent by the end of October 2026 and 85 per cent by the end of September 2026.”
Say instead: Diamandis reads Polymarket's prediction of 48% by end of October and 85% by end of September.
2 of 4 review checks done · 2 counted
Contradicted · 0.0346 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · review checks 2 of 4 · provisional until audited. The number is model-conditional, not a share of truth.
Share:
Checked in Galedra: score 0.03, strongly against · not yet reviewed by anyone else
“Polymarket put the probability of GPT-6.1's release at 48 per cent by the end of October 2026 and 85 per cent by the end of September 2026.”
https://galedra.org/claims/ee083a25-fe8f-8d9f-98a1-be4b62235934/card
Or just the link: https://galedra.org/claims/ee083a25-fe8f-8d9f-98a1-be4b62235934/card
See the evidence · 
Galedra