Claim

Model ledger-default@0.1.0 ledger-strict@0.1.0 ledger-default@0.2.0 ledger-strict@0.2.0 ledger-default@0.3.0 (default) ledger-strict@0.3.0 Snapshot seq

Topics

Not filed under any topic yet.

Assessment

Why?

Strongest counted support: The report attributes the ban to unfavorable coverage, without establishing that polling, presidential failures, or concealment necessity caused it. weight 1.800000 evidence

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Leans supported to Leans contradicted.

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Evidence for

• The report attributes the ban to unfavorable coverage, without establishing that polling, presidential failures, or concealment necessity caused it.

  From Trump Announces Ban of CNN, Politico and MS Now From White House Read 2026-09-28 Relevance DIRECT Steps 0 Counted

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

None.

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

From	Relationship	To
f8ae3a81	NARROWS	e0648806

Review checklist

Review checks: 0 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author. No independent review yet. 1 OPPOSING EVIDENCE SEARCH · 1 QUALIFIER CHECK. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

Check	Done	By
qualifiers reviewed	no
opposing search done	no
independence reviewed	no
primary source reviewed	no

Summary

Contribution history

seq	event	detail
7808	APPENDED
7809	ACCEPT	AUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
8556	TASK_RESULT	by 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "f44b308e-ed69-8c58-b68b-c665f8ae3a81",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "3acaf4fd-26a9-8d71-bc6b-1d3a8409b0ba",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "fc7508a8-8f3e-8b74-949d-127fbd38b02c",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.35",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1933",
    "permissive": "0.8483",
    "conservative": "0.6550"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "LOW",
  "claim_type": "CAUSAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.7651",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 8557,
  "prior_log_odds": "-0.619039",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": true,
  "review_coverage": "0.00",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "LEANS_SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.180961",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 1
}