Galedra
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Claim

Trump's Truth Social announcement said media outlets should not be able to constantly write or report fiction and lies when covering the President, the Trump Administration or the United States.

Type TEXTUAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 5994

30 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 125 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 95, shared 28. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Media · e82bf250 Government · e82bf250

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9734 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 2 counted

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 2 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 3 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:f470d6ae-8092-87ce-ae0d-4c92da246c28

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage from trumpstruth.org was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: AP reports Trump's Truth Social post banning CNN, MSNOW and Politico effective immediately, with other outlets to follow. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt directly quotes Trump saying media outlets should not constantly write or report fiction and lies when covering the President, the Trump Administration, or the United States.

Review gaps: independence reviewed, primary source reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9734 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 2 of 4 · stability HIGH · 3 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:71029571607449e2f9a62d3a2ada0c7b673f4134bb1a557b858af3ee0e8b928b

Last changed at entry seq 11029; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
236cf812 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
9687e225 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 236cf812)
e20a7cc8 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 3.600000 (the counted weights) = 3.600000 → probability 0.9734

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9255 to 0.9908, a spread of 0.0653.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

None.

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
5d489f24236cf812

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 2 of 4

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes24d37fdc
opposing search doneyesb5df5af4
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedno

Summary

Supported. The main support is: AP reports Trump's Truth Social post banning CNN, MSNOW and Politico effective immediately, with other outlets to follow. 6e19b0af

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 5d489f24

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. b5df5af4

Review checks: 2 of 4. coverage:f470d6ae-8092-87ce-ae0d-4c92da246c28

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
5994APPENDED
5995ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
6194LINK_EVIDENCEby e82bf250 (accepted)
8416TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
11028LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "f470d6ae-8092-87ce-ae0d-4c92da246c28",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "01262430-f498-89ae-81bd-be3c236cf812",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "55bb7ee9-f8d8-8962-9611-3e1c6e19b0af",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "01262430-f498-89ae-81bd-be3c236cf812",
      "link": "8ac0f36a-378d-8a22-98da-cb9c9687e225",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "d34cf0b0-b130-8543-993c-22c05d489f24",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "bf366a7d-cad6-8d22-8e30-274be20a7cc8",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "d61b3673-ccd3-8ef1-b14d-049585dae253",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "SOCIAL_POST",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.0653",
    "permissive": "0.9908",
    "conservative": "0.9255"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "HIGH",
  "claim_type": "TEXTUAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.9734",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "3.600000",
  "snapshot_seq": 11029,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 2,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.50",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c6b2-87ee-7017-a202-1daf24d37fdc"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c6b2-87db-7568-8c6f-bd9eb5df5af4"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "3.600000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 3
}