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Claim

MeerKAT observations reported the first direct detection of auroral radio emission from the giant exoplanet β Pictoris b, including rapid recurring circularly polarized bursts and persistent emission from 0.85 to 3.5 GHz.

Type OBSERVATIONAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 18097 · qualifiers {"location":"The giant exoplanet β Pictoris b observed with the MeerKAT array.","denominator":"Reported radio emission between 0.85 and 3.5 GHz."}

32 words; atomic claims are usually under 25a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 91 times: checked 2, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 57, shared 32. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Astronomy and space · 1efd24fe

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.9781 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

2 of 4 review checks done · 1 counted · 1 by the author only

2 independent evidence lineages · review checks 1 of 4 · stability HIGH

Main unresolved issue: 6 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:f4f2064d-4398-8034-95c1-576288fae2cf

Not yet independently audited.Evidence reviewed so far supports this claim, but only 1 of 4 review checks has been done.A quoted passage from tech.cnr.cn was not found on the page when Galedra fetched it.

Why?

Strongest counted support: The abstract reports first direct exoplanet auroral radio detection with recurring polarized bursts from 0.85 to 3.5 GHz. weight 2.000000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The quoted passage directly reports the first direct exoplanet auroral radio detection from β Pictoris b, recurring circularly polarized bursts, and persistent emission at 0.85–3.5 GHz.

Review gaps: qualifiers reviewed, opposing search done, independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Supported.

Hide calculation

0.9781 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 1 of 4 · stability HIGH · 6 sources, 2 independent lineages

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:131a852818fe76cd4b22ad9fc463eba737ba35a94fd65f3c9b841dfdb1a6dd66

Last changed at entry seq 25838; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
399d0a60 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
4d9ed778 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 0.000000 (non directional)
740de84e qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 0.000000 (non directional)
0f80cc5d support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 2.000000
b20be2c6 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept 0f80cc5d)
29ff5699 qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation MEASUREMENT 1.0 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 2.000000 0.000000 (non directional)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 3.800000 (the counted weights) = 3.800000 → probability 0.9781

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.9346 to 0.9929, a spread of 0.0583.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
0f881e4e0f80cc5d

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 1 of 4

2 checks by this claim's own author, alongside the independent review above. 1 QUALIFIER CHECK · 1 EVIDENCE VERIFICATION. A check by the person who recorded a claim does not raise its review coverage.

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedno
opposing search doneno
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyes4d9ed778, 740de84e, 0f80cc5d, b20be2c6, 29ff5699

Summary

Supported. The main support is: The secondary report says MeerKAT radio emission was localized to β Pictoris b rather than its host star and attributed to auroral activity. 59991feb

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 0f881e4e

Qualifier: The 3.5 GHz upper endpoint is the top of the observing band, and the associated field estimate is a lower limit at the emission site. 4ef40f08

Qualifier: The reported detection is based on four MeerKAT observing occasions spanning 2025–2026 and the 0.8–3.5 GHz L/S bands. ffd68cfb

Qualifier: Recurring polarized bursts and persistent emission were observed, but rapid variability was not measurable in all epochs because of per-bin signal-to-noise limitations. 1f87d022

Review checks: 1 of 4. coverage:f4f2064d-4398-8034-95c1-576288fae2cf

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
18097APPENDED
18098ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
18109LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
18119LINK_EVIDENCEby 1efd24fe (accepted)
24690TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
25837TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

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  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
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  "variants": {
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    "permissive": "0.9929",
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  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
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  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
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