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Claim

Trump called the New York Times and Washington Post fake news and said those papers would probably no longer be displayed in the White House.

Type TEXTUAL · truth-evaluable: yes · status at snapshot: ACTIVE · created seq 5700

a conjunction joins clauses that may be separately evaluable

Referenced 116 times: checked 1, looked up by assistants 0, viewed 73, shared 42. A count of attention, not evidence.

Topics

Media · e82bf250

Assessment

Supported

Score: 0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745

3 of 4 review checks done · 3 counted

1 independent evidence lineage · review checks 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM

Main unresolved issue: 3 counted evidence items have no independence review; repeats of one origin may be counted as several coverage:fed2bb29-e122-8592-be7e-2482d3e2fef7

Not yet independently audited.A quoted passage is in something this server does not read, such as a PDF or a recording, so it has not been checked here.

Why?

Strongest counted support: Trump called both papers fake news and said the White House would probably stop displaying them. weight 1.800000 evidence

Suppressed as dependent: The excerpt quotes Trump calling the New York Times and Washington Post fake news and saying the papers probably would no longer be displayed in the White House.

Review gaps: independence reviewed

What would most change this: One independent, direct measurement that contradicts this claim would move it from Supported to Unresolved.

Hide calculation

0.8581 under ledger-default@0.3.0 at snapshot 27745 · state Supported · Review checks: 3 of 4 · stability MEDIUM · 3 sources, 1 independent lineage

Model ledger-default@0.3.0 (the default model, not the answer) · snapshot 27745 · trace sha256:0bba7d8f71c7facc6c9cc9f83c335a9cbb06dc20ffdf2431de1aee28a25426a9

Last changed at entry seq 11100; nothing logged since has borne on this claim.

How the number was reached

Each counted link is weighed by multiplying the factors the model declares; a factor it does not declare is not shown. Every factor name below links to what that number means.

LinkWorkingWeightCounted as
b1938dd6 support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 1.800000
b74b118d qualify relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (non directional)
5dbe8abd support relevance DIRECT 2.0 × observation DIRECT_TEXT 0.9 × interpretation 0 steps, 1 − 0.15 × 0 1.000000 × authenticity UNVERIFIED 1.0 × extraction UNVERIFIED 1.0 × provenance INDEPENDENT 1.0 × edition NAMED_OR_UNRELATED 1 1.800000 0.000000 (dependent strongest only, kept b1938dd6)

prior 0.50 → log-odds 0.000000 + 1.800000 (the counted weights) = 1.800000 → probability 0.8581

Under neighbouring settings of the same model: 0.7790 to 0.9121, a spread of 0.1331.

Half-even rounding, six places for weights and four for the probability. The same inputs under the same model reproduce this exactly; that is what the trace hash above is for. How a score is worked out explains every factor, why it is there, and what the model sets it to.

Your view

Sign in to register whether you agree or disagree. A view is yours alone and never changes the assessment.

Registered views

Nobody has registered a view yet.

Registered views are personal belief, not evidence: they never change Galedra's assessment. Affiliations are self-declared and shown only for groups of 5 or more.

Checked as part of

Statements this claim was broken out of. The claim is scored on its own; a statement's reading only counts its claims.

Evidence for

Evidence against

None.

Qualifications

Suppressed as dependent

EvidenceGroupKept instead
05765dc3b1938dd6

Inferences

Concluded from

None.

Used as a premise in

None.

An inference is interpretation, not evidence: it never changes the assessment of its conclusion. Each premise is a claim with its own evidence.

Threads

None. Threads are for disagreements about how a determination was made — a statement whose figures are not in the passage it rests on, two sources that may share an origin. Something about the world belongs in the evidence above.

Claim edges

None. Edges are stored and displayed; v0.1 does not propagate probability across them.

Review checklist

Review checks: 3 of 4

CheckDoneBy
qualifiers reviewedyes591e0853
opposing search doneyes699a7851
independence reviewedno
primary source reviewedyesb1938dd6, b74b118d, 5dbe8abd

Summary

Supported. The main support is: Trump called both papers fake news and said the White House would probably stop displaying them. d545469f

1 further item repeats the same origin and is not independent evidence. 05765dc3

Qualifier: Trump said they would probably not be displayed, but said the White House had not yet taken that step. f4df7eae

A search for evidence in the opposing direction found none. 699a7851

Review checks: 3 of 4. coverage:fed2bb29-e122-8592-be7e-2482d3e2fef7

Generated by stub-v0.1; every sentence cites graph ids.

Contribution history

seqeventdetail
5700APPENDED
5701ACCEPTAUTOMATIC_AFTER_VALIDATION
5834LINK_EVIDENCEby e82bf250 (accepted)
8874TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)
9172TASK_RESULTby 1efd24fe (accepted)

Score trace

{
  "claim": "fed2bb29-e122-8592-be7e-2482d3e2fef7",
  "links": [
    {
      "link": "16b63b95-dd10-8ecc-a082-df84b1938dd6",
      "group": null,
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "5a35de2c-433f-89fe-9527-dbc8d545469f",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "1.800000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "link": "198894b1-e800-875b-9ce7-d6bbb74b118d",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "non_directional",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "0669b6a8-3348-8fe4-b961-df71f4df7eae",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    },
    {
      "kept": "16b63b95-dd10-8ecc-a082-df84b1938dd6",
      "link": "dec8283b-0b6c-88ff-b13b-81c95dbe8abd",
      "group": null,
      "reason": "dependent_strongest_only",
      "edition": "NAMED_OR_UNRELATED",
      "evidence": "370d24c5-2996-86e2-9dec-12ab05765dc3",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "magnitude": "1.800000",
      "relevance": "DIRECT",
      "extraction": "UNVERIFIED",
      "provenance": "INDEPENDENT",
      "observation": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "authenticity": "UNVERIFIED",
      "audit_confirmed": false,
      "effective_weight": "0.000000",
      "interpretive_steps": 0
    }
  ],
  "model": "ledger-default@0.3.0",
  "prior": "0.50",
  "variants": {
    "spread": "0.1331",
    "permissive": "0.9121",
    "conservative": "0.7790"
  },
  "code_hash": "sha256:c61a6fdf35a754a0d7e958df149036a083c0eaeb7d2d2e52704ec32b0c36def7",
  "contested": false,
  "stability": "MEDIUM",
  "claim_type": "TEXTUAL",
  "config_hash": "sha256:86768038080b8ab5233f1e4b7aba10af05b5bb44caa432095150b90e81209809",
  "probability": "0.8581",
  "provisional": true,
  "evidence_sum": "1.800000",
  "snapshot_seq": 11100,
  "prior_log_odds": "0.000000",
  "support_groups": 1,
  "model_dependent": false,
  "review_coverage": "0.75",
  "truth_evaluable": true,
  "assessment_state": "SUPPORTED",
  "review_checklist": {
    "qualifiers_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c6ae-ba1b-78e8-8cc5-2615591e0853"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "opposing_search_done": {
      "by": [
        "01a0c6ae-b9fb-71ce-9594-d24b699a7851"
      ],
      "ok": true
    },
    "independence_reviewed": {
      "by": [],
      "ok": false
    },
    "primary_source_reviewed": {
      "by": [
        "16b63b95-dd10-8ecc-a082-df84b1938dd6",
        "198894b1-e800-875b-9ce7-d6bbb74b118d",
        "dec8283b-0b6c-88ff-b13b-81c95dbe8abd"
      ],
      "ok": true
    }
  },
  "contradict_groups": 0,
  "rounding_boundary": false,
  "posterior_log_odds": "1.800000",
  "not_applicable_reason": null,
  "independence_unreviewed": 3
}