Claims
| Claim | Type | Assessment | Score | Review checks | References |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket put the probability of Anthropic releasing Fable 5.2 at 43 per cent by 31 October 2026 and 86 per cent by 31 December 2026. | QUANTITATIVE | Contradicted | 0.0346 | 2 of 4 | 133 |
| Claim | Type | Assessment | Score | Review checks | References |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket put the probability of Anthropic releasing Fable 5.2 at 43 per cent by 31 October 2026 and 86 per cent by 31 December 2026. | QUANTITATIVE | Contradicted | 0.0346 | 2 of 4 | 133 |