Claims
| Claim | Type | Assessment | Score | Review checks | References |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket put the probability of GPT-6.1's release at 48 per cent by the end of October 2026 and 85 per cent by the end of September 2026. | QUANTITATIVE | Contradicted | 0.0346 | 2 of 4 | 136 |
| Claim | Type | Assessment | Score | Review checks | References |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket put the probability of GPT-6.1's release at 48 per cent by the end of October 2026 and 85 per cent by the end of September 2026. | QUANTITATIVE | Contradicted | 0.0346 | 2 of 4 | 136 |