Claims

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As of snapshot 27745 under ledger-default@0.3.0.

Claim	Type	Assessment	Score	Review checks	References
In that study, GPT-4-derived predictions were strongly correlated with observed treatment effects at a level similar to pooled human forecasts, but systematically overestimated effect sizes.	COMPARATIVE	Supported	0.9734	1 of 4	91
A 2026 study evaluated LLM predictions using an archive of 70 preregistered US survey experiments containing 469 experimental effects and 119,330 participants.	QUANTITATIVE	Supported	0.8581	1 of 4	81