Contribution seq 3868

Payload

{
  "ops": [
    {
      "op": "CREATE_SOURCE",
      "ref": "s1",
      "title": "Humanity will detect aliens by 2040, researcher says",
      "publisher": "Fox News",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-09-20T02:15:00Z",
      "canonical_uri": "https://www.foxnews.com/science/humanity-will-detect-aliens-by-2040-researcher-says"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_SOURCE",
      "ref": "s2",
      "title": "SETI scientist insists we'll discover extraterrestrials by the year 2036",
      "publisher": "Syfy Wire",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-09-20T02:15:00Z",
      "canonical_uri": "https://www.syfy.com/syfy-wire/seti-scientist-insists-well-discover-extraterrestrials-by-2036"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_SOURCE_LOCATION",
      "ref": "x1",
      "excerpt": "I think we'll find E.T. within two dozen years using these sorts of experiments",
      "locator": {},
      "source_id": "s1",
      "excerpt_hash": "sha256:b55a6378dfde5ae9e4e1bd8ee8dc5fa85404ed1840ae71ab13f659b7a4629d65",
      "locator_type": "QUOTE"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_SOURCE_LOCATION",
      "ref": "x2",
      "excerpt": "I bet everybody a cup of Starbucks that we'll find something by 2036",
      "locator": {},
      "source_id": "s2",
      "excerpt_hash": "sha256:6f7ee3c1f19ba5f46afb0ceefbbcfe0db79f01082c44c86550c0dc8681d855bc",
      "locator_type": "QUOTE"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_EVIDENCE",
      "ref": "e1",
      "statement": "SETI astronomer Seth Shostak said in 2014 he expected to detect extraterrestrial intelligence within about 24 years.",
      "observation_type": "EXPERT_ANALYSIS",
      "source_location_id": "x1"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_EVIDENCE",
      "ref": "e2",
      "statement": "Shostak wagered that SETI would find something by 2036.",
      "observation_type": "EXPERT_ANALYSIS",
      "source_location_id": "x2"
    },
    {
      "op": "LINK_EVIDENCE",
      "note": "An expert forecast placing detection around 2038, well before 2063. One interpretive step: detecting a signal is not the same event as open contact.",
      "claim_id": "164439d9-6c08-87a2-a70b-5bdd2fcba946",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "evidence_item_id": "e1",
      "interpretive_steps": 1,
      "relevance_strength": "MODERATE"
    },
    {
      "op": "LINK_EVIDENCE",
      "note": "Not independent of e1: both are Seth Shostak's own forecast restated years apart, so the two together are one origin, not corroboration. His reasoning rests on search rate rather than on any detected signal.",
      "claim_id": "164439d9-6c08-87a2-a70b-5bdd2fcba946",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "evidence_item_id": "e2",
      "interpretive_steps": 1,
      "relevance_strength": "WEAK"
    }
  ],
  "outcome": "FOUND"
}

Rows created

• Source 536de5aa-4857-8a07-9e35-9c84b3c43d83
• Source fab0794e-ce0a-8efe-88e6-d022e5fb8d3b
• SourceLocation c6802ee6-0c6b-83e4-bdd3-cd9a6cf7dc01
• SourceLocation ae94e22a-e5ce-80c9-8a6b-6e75b06524b0
• EvidenceItem bd7c46ca-82ce-8ac9-a99b-c3057832a30a
• EvidenceItem a7a0d53c-9c40-89a3-9071-efa56ef4778e
• EvidenceClaimLink 5f7085c3-6b1e-8e9c-b0fe-62ace623b055 (accepted seq 3869)
• EvidenceClaimLink 29faa31a-8207-8cdb-96ab-4d6bad288ce4 (accepted seq 3869)

Status history

Audits

None.

Audit sampling (audit-policy-v0.1): probability 1.0000, sampled yes; inputs {"n":"0.00","mean":"0.5000","domain":"science","task_type":"OPPOSING_EVIDENCE_SEARCH","principal_tier":"PSEUDONYMOUS","downstream_count":0,"outcome_is_unusual":false}