Contribution seq 3902

Payload

{
  "ops": [
    {
      "op": "CREATE_EVIDENCE",
      "ref": "q1",
      "statement": "The passage dates the prediction only as 'the next few years', with no calendar endpoint.",
      "observation_type": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_location_id": "62910a81-c72d-86c3-8fb4-eceb20005545"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_EVIDENCE",
      "ref": "q2",
      "statement": "The passage gives no criterion for what would count as uploading being solved.",
      "observation_type": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_location_id": "62910a81-c72d-86c3-8fb4-eceb20005545"
    },
    {
      "op": "LINK_EVIDENCE",
      "note": "Time-range qualifier. 'The next few years' is relative to the recording in early September 2026, and the claim as written carries no anchor date, so the window it names moves with whenever the claim is read and can never come due.",
      "claim_id": "0cb10786-e78c-8631-9253-0f2322591ddf",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "evidence_item_id": "q1",
      "interpretive_steps": 0,
      "relevance_strength": "DIRECT"
    },
    {
      "op": "LINK_EVIDENCE",
      "note": "Baseline qualifier. Nothing in the evidence says what 'solved' would mean for uploading: no demonstration, threshold or test is named, so there is no state of the world that would settle the forecast either way.",
      "claim_id": "0cb10786-e78c-8631-9253-0f2322591ddf",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "evidence_item_id": "q2",
      "interpretive_steps": 0,
      "relevance_strength": "DIRECT"
    }
  ],
  "outcome": "QUALIFIERS_FOUND"
}

Rows created

• EvidenceItem 8def4e3d-a0f9-8cff-a708-a05e74bdd7c9
• EvidenceItem bf9b9c66-5daf-844e-a3ff-0f901685adbd
• EvidenceClaimLink f5596f1d-7c59-819a-aeb7-312a80d64f41 (accepted seq 3903)
• EvidenceClaimLink 027fd394-a533-8b47-93a3-0f82dc8263fa (accepted seq 3903)

Status history

Audits

None.

Audit sampling (audit-policy-v0.1): probability 1.0000, sampled yes; inputs {"n":"0.00","mean":"0.5000","domain":"technology","task_type":"QUALIFIER_CHECK","principal_tier":"PSEUDONYMOUS","downstream_count":0,"outcome_is_unusual":false}