Contribution seq 4032

Payload

{
  "ops": [
    {
      "op": "CREATE_CLAIM",
      "ref": "narrow",
      "claim_type": "FORECAST",
      "qualifiers": {},
      "canonical_text": "Inference price-performance will improve 100-fold between early September 2026 and 31 December 2026.",
      "affirms_not_private_individual": true
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_CLAIM_EDGE",
      "to_claim_id": "0cca7ef2-4f7b-8a71-ad83-8159ada9b9e7",
      "from_claim_id": "narrow",
      "relationship_type": "NARROWS"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_EVIDENCE",
      "ref": "measure",
      "statement": "The passage names no metric, model, task or units for 'price performance'.",
      "observation_type": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_location_id": "d1155b40-6440-89eb-8fb4-2e19d7491c62"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_EVIDENCE",
      "ref": "baseline",
      "statement": "The passage says 'between here and the end of the year', giving no explicit start date.",
      "observation_type": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_location_id": "d1155b40-6440-89eb-8fb4-2e19d7491c62"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_EVIDENCE",
      "ref": "who",
      "statement": "The passage attributes the 100x prediction to an unspecified 'we'.",
      "observation_type": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_location_id": "d1155b40-6440-89eb-8fb4-2e19d7491c62"
    },
    {
      "op": "LINK_EVIDENCE",
      "note": "Without a stated measure and denominator, a 100-fold improvement cannot be scored as met or missed when the date arrives.",
      "claim_id": "0cca7ef2-4f7b-8a71-ad83-8159ada9b9e7",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "evidence_item_id": "measure",
      "interpretive_steps": 0,
      "relevance_strength": "DIRECT"
    },
    {
      "op": "LINK_EVIDENCE",
      "note": "The claim's 'September 2026' start is read from the recording date, not stated in the source.",
      "claim_id": "0cca7ef2-4f7b-8a71-ad83-8159ada9b9e7",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "evidence_item_id": "baseline",
      "interpretive_steps": 0,
      "relevance_strength": "DIRECT"
    },
    {
      "op": "LINK_EVIDENCE",
      "note": "The forecaster is unidentified, so the prediction cannot be attributed to a named party or track record.",
      "claim_id": "0cca7ef2-4f7b-8a71-ad83-8159ada9b9e7",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "evidence_item_id": "who",
      "interpretive_steps": 0,
      "relevance_strength": "DIRECT"
    }
  ],
  "outcome": "QUALIFIERS_FOUND"
}

Rows created

• Claim 87e4ece5-9f5e-87b6-89a1-f0cee24223f6 (accepted seq 4033)
• ClaimEdge b9f24182-1d5c-8681-bb05-f7cf75ad1843 (accepted seq 4033)
• EvidenceItem 0cbc3f4a-c117-8744-8de0-be19446c8518
• EvidenceItem bbcd76d3-d363-8f92-864e-8b6ca904a762
• EvidenceItem e808b5d9-ab41-8469-802f-b856cb17c189
• EvidenceClaimLink 211a8382-0168-89c7-bed2-11c8dd3219e0 (accepted seq 4033)
• EvidenceClaimLink 69872861-9f01-88b1-a60d-d2bdde455c9b (accepted seq 4033)
• EvidenceClaimLink f3c18bf6-a5f8-8e23-8516-a49c2616bc37 (accepted seq 4033)

Status history

Audits

None.

Audit sampling (audit-policy-v0.1): probability 1.0000, sampled yes; inputs {"n":"0.00","mean":"0.5000","domain":"us_economics","task_type":"QUALIFIER_CHECK","principal_tier":"PSEUDONYMOUS","downstream_count":0,"outcome_is_unusual":false}