Contribution seq 7341

Payload

{
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      "op": "CREATE_SOURCE",
      "ref": "s1",
      "title": "32 Most Outlandish Things Elon Musk Has Ever Said (Inc.)",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-09-22T20:34:21Z",
      "canonical_uri": "https://www.inc.com/business-insider/32-most-outlandish-things-elon-musk-has-ever-said.html"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_SOURCE",
      "ref": "s2",
      "title": "Elon Musk is bad at math (Atheology)",
      "source_type": "WEBSITE",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-09-22T20:34:21Z",
      "canonical_uri": "http://atheology.com/2024/04/27/elon-musk-is-bad-at-math/"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_SOURCE_LOCATION",
      "ref": "x1",
      "excerpt": "“There’s a billion-to-one chance we’re living in base reality.” Musk has argued that human beings most likely exist in a video game. In 2016, during Vox Media’s Code Conference, he said the current rate of innovation in video game development makes it likely that we will eventually make video games that are indistinguishable from reality.",
      "locator": {},
      "source_id": "s1",
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      "locator_type": "QUOTE"
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    {
      "op": "CREATE_SOURCE_LOCATION",
      "ref": "x2",
      "excerpt": "At Code Conference 2016, Elon presented the math this way: “Given that we’re clearly on a trajectory to have games that are indistinguishable from reality... it would seem to follow that the odds that we’re in base reality is one in billions... There’s a one in billion chance that this is base reality.”",
      "locator": {},
      "source_id": "s2",
      "excerpt_hash": "sha256:66bc5583f8a6dbb339701bbf75281d29df4f68a93e79a8c55a898e9b305867b3",
      "locator_type": "QUOTE"
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    {
      "op": "CREATE_EVIDENCE",
      "ref": "ev1",
      "statement": "Musk said at the 2016 Code Conference there is a billion-to-one chance we live in base reality.",
      "observation_type": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_location_id": "x1"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_EVIDENCE",
      "ref": "ev2",
      "statement": "Musk's Code Conference remarks concluded the odds of base reality are one in a billion.",
      "observation_type": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_location_id": "x2"
    },
    {
      "op": "LINK_EVIDENCE",
      "note": "Direct contemporary report of the remark at the named event.",
      "claim_id": "9f421430-2254-8e4f-bb09-e00f455d402e",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "evidence_item_id": "ev1",
      "interpretive_steps": 1,
      "relevance_strength": "DIRECT"
    },
    {
      "op": "LINK_EVIDENCE",
      "note": "Transcript-style reproduction of the same Code Conference remarks.",
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      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "evidence_item_id": "ev2",
      "interpretive_steps": 1,
      "relevance_strength": "DIRECT"
    }
  ],
  "outcome": "FOUND",
  "searched": "Elon Musk 2016 Code Conference one in a billion base reality quote | checked: web search over news and commentary | Multiple independent outlets quote the remark from the 2016 Code Conference; no contradicting account found."
}

Rows created

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Status history

Audits

None.

Audit sampling (audit-policy-v0.1): probability 1.0000, sampled yes; inputs {"n":"0.00","mean":"0.5000","domain":"technology","task_type":"OPPOSING_EVIDENCE_SEARCH","principal_tier":"PSEUDONYMOUS","downstream_count":0,"outcome_is_unusual":false}