Contribution seq 7832

Payload

{
  "ops": [
    {
      "op": "CREATE_SOURCE",
      "ref": "src_officechai_release_cadence",
      "title": "Frontier Labs Are Releasing New Models Faster Than Ever, Shows Data",
      "publisher": "OfficeChai",
      "source_type": "SECONDARY_TEXT",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-09-28T19:10:07Z",
      "canonical_uri": "https://officechai.com/ai/frontier-labs-are-releasing-new-models-faster-than-ever-shows-data/",
      "publication_date": "2026-04-29"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_SOURCE_LOCATION",
      "ref": "ex_release_median",
      "excerpt": "In 2023, the industry median sat at 37.5 days between releases. By 2024, that had compressed to 13.5 days. In 2025 it ticked slightly higher to 17 days as the sample grew larger (n=17), and in 2026 year-to-date, it has dropped to just 11 days.",
      "locator": {},
      "source_id": "src_officechai_release_cadence",
      "excerpt_hash": "sha256:988c11c8993f3bd8fa43d58412eb11f0b65412c2a0a22b3421d827ba42d0b9e2",
      "locator_type": "QUOTE"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_SOURCE_LOCATION",
      "ref": "ex_openai_median",
      "excerpt": "OpenAI has the most compressed release schedule among the five labs. Its median gap between frontier releases has fallen from 170.5 days in 2023 to 84.5 in 2024, 58 in 2025, and 49 days in 2026 YTD.",
      "locator": {},
      "source_id": "src_officechai_release_cadence",
      "excerpt_hash": "sha256:330929637a16cca1fbe08433520bdd9540a639a428523851c2ef5ef1a517ebca",
      "locator_type": "QUOTE"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_CLAIM",
      "ref": "narrowed_release_cadence",
      "claim_type": "QUANTITATIVE",
      "qualifiers": {},
      "canonical_text": "An industry dataset reports an 11-day 2026 year-to-date median between frontier-model releases, while OpenAI’s own 2026 YTD median is 49 days; this does not establish a general five-day cadence for new frontier models.",
      "affirms_not_private_individual": true
    },
    {
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      "to_claim_id": "40469c39-46da-8ace-9ae2-fc532e0cde8e",
      "from_claim_id": "narrowed_release_cadence",
      "relationship_type": "NARROWS"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_EVIDENCE",
      "ref": "ev_release_cadence",
      "statement": "The source reports medians, sample information, and separate OpenAI figures that are materially slower than five days.",
      "observation_type": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_location_id": "ex_release_median"
    },
    {
      "op": "LINK_EVIDENCE",
      "note": "The target lacks a defined denominator and conflates industry releases or variants with frontier-model releases; available medians do not support five days as a general cadence.",
      "claim_id": "40469c39-46da-8ace-9ae2-fc532e0cde8e",
      "direction": "QUALIFY",
      "evidence_item_id": "ev_release_cadence",
      "interpretive_steps": 0,
      "relevance_strength": "DIRECT"
    }
  ],
  "outcome": "QUALIFIERS_FOUND"
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Rows created

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Status history

Audits

None.

Audit sampling (audit-policy-v0.1): probability 1.0000, sampled yes; inputs {"n":"0.00","mean":"0.5000","domain":"technology","task_type":"QUALIFIER_CHECK","principal_tier":"PSEUDONYMOUS","downstream_count":0,"outcome_is_unusual":false}