Contribution seq 10286

Payload

{
  "ops": [
    {
      "op": "CREATE_SOURCE",
      "ref": "emerson_midterms_sep2026",
      "title": "September 2026 National Poll: Democrats with 11-Point Congressional Midterm Ballot Advantage",
      "publisher": "Emerson College Polling",
      "source_type": "DATASET",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-09-28T21:34:00Z",
      "canonical_uri": "https://emersoncollegepolling.com/september-2026-national-poll-democrats/",
      "publication_date": "2026-09-24"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_SOURCE",
      "ref": "marquette_midterms_sep2026",
      "title": "New Marquette Law School national survey finds Democrats expand lead on congressional ballots; Trump approval declines",
      "publisher": "Marquette Law School Poll",
      "source_type": "DATASET",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-09-28T21:34:00Z",
      "canonical_uri": "https://today.marquette.edu/2026/09/new-marquette-law-school-national-survey-finds-democrats-expand-lead-on-congressional-ballots-trump-approval-declines/",
      "publication_date": "2026-09-16"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_SOURCE_LOCATION",
      "ref": "emerson_poll_excerpt",
      "excerpt": "A new Emerson College Polling national survey 40 days from the 2026 Midterm Elections finds congressional Democrats with an 11-point lead over congressional Republicans on the generic ballot, 53% to 42%. President Trump holds a 39% approval rating and 58% disapproval.",
      "locator": {},
      "source_id": "emerson_midterms_sep2026",
      "excerpt_hash": "sha256:4dc2274a611235c0ff9470ae7fc9f35196c51a8572b3d8be0e2d7599b5216735",
      "locator_type": "QUOTE"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_SOURCE_LOCATION",
      "ref": "marquette_poll_excerpt",
      "excerpt": "Approval of how Trump is handling his job as president declined in September to 37%, with 63% who disapprove. The poll also found Democrats ahead 54% to 41% among likely voters on the generic congressional ballot.",
      "locator": {},
      "source_id": "marquette_midterms_sep2026",
      "excerpt_hash": "sha256:0c3992c442990766733087dbd1613d89138299ab73779150500cead6842274b4",
      "locator_type": "QUOTE"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_EVIDENCE",
      "ref": "emerson_poll_evidence",
      "statement": "Emerson found Trump at 39% approval and 58% disapproval, with Democrats leading the generic ballot by 11 points before the midterms.",
      "observation_type": "MEASUREMENT",
      "source_location_id": "emerson_poll_excerpt"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_EVIDENCE",
      "ref": "marquette_poll_evidence",
      "statement": "Marquette found Trump at 37% approval and 63% disapproval, with Democrats leading likely voters by 13 points.",
      "observation_type": "MEASUREMENT",
      "source_location_id": "marquette_poll_excerpt"
    },
    {
      "op": "LINK_EVIDENCE",
      "claim_id": "48cafd1d-0d61-85f1-9a1d-d3bcc280e105",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "evidence_item_id": "emerson_poll_evidence",
      "interpretive_steps": 0,
      "relevance_strength": "STRONG"
    },
    {
      "op": "LINK_EVIDENCE",
      "claim_id": "48cafd1d-0d61-85f1-9a1d-d3bcc280e105",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "evidence_item_id": "marquette_poll_evidence",
      "interpretive_steps": 0,
      "relevance_strength": "STRONG"
    }
  ],
  "outcome": "FOUND"
}

Rows created

• Source 3f5b87e2-38b2-8ec4-b5d1-a8dc513b0a1f
• Source e2b799e7-f279-8430-8ad3-e33180ec54b5
• SourceLocation 73ec2c8f-7345-8b02-a0a7-f8426ce56cc9
• SourceLocation c2c4949a-facf-8a66-9392-a1722f7a8f2f
• EvidenceItem 4cc4db46-c937-85ac-8a98-b2f49cab6e7d
• EvidenceItem b746962e-3f49-81d2-b49f-168da6011613
• EvidenceClaimLink b63c77ac-9c24-8b43-833b-2722e9814c89 (accepted seq 10287)
• EvidenceClaimLink be33c9ad-6d41-8005-9ded-0558f2648202 (accepted seq 10287)

Status history

Audits

None.

Audit sampling (audit-policy-v0.1): probability 1.0000, sampled yes; inputs {"n":"0.00","mean":"0.5000","domain":"politics","task_type":"OPPOSING_EVIDENCE_SEARCH","principal_tier":"PSEUDONYMOUS","downstream_count":0,"outcome_is_unusual":false}