Contribution seq 24358

Payload

{
  "ops": [
    {
      "op": "CREATE_SOURCE",
      "ref": "src_jlc_random_reassignment_2025",
      "title": "Measuring How Much Judges Matter for Case Outcomes",
      "publisher": "Journal of Law and Courts",
      "source_type": "PRIMARY_TEXT",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-09-29T03:14:45Z",
      "canonical_uri": "https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/journal-of-law-and-courts/article/measuring-how-much-judges-matter-for-case-outcomes/B81C82F81C6787FECA094DDBBA0F91A5"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_SOURCE_LOCATION",
      "ref": "ex_jlc_random_reassignment_65pct",
      "excerpt": "The resulting “asymptote” is our best estimate of how many cases would be decided differently if they were randomly reassigned. In this case, we estimate that at least 6.5% of cases would be decided differently if all the cases in our dataset were randomly reassigned.",
      "locator": {},
      "source_id": "src_jlc_random_reassignment_2025",
      "excerpt_hash": "sha256:926b4cc6a4ef0364334fd33483f804b3b201d73ca54dda79229e2acdf23559d9",
      "locator_type": "QUOTE"
    },
    {
      "op": "CREATE_EVIDENCE",
      "ref": "ev_jlc_random_reassignment_support",
      "statement": "The primary Journal of Law and Courts article estimates that at least 6.5% of cases would have different outcomes if all cases in its dataset were randomly reassigned to panels.",
      "observation_type": "DIRECT_TEXT",
      "source_location_id": "ex_jlc_random_reassignment_65pct"
    },
    {
      "op": "LINK_EVIDENCE",
      "note": "The article directly states the 6.5% estimate and random reassignment condition.",
      "claim_id": "6bb6a07d-ca22-845d-abfb-0058301804a1",
      "direction": "SUPPORT",
      "evidence_item_id": "ev_jlc_random_reassignment_support",
      "interpretive_steps": 0,
      "relevance_strength": "DIRECT"
    }
  ],
  "outcome": "FOUND"
}

Rows created

• Source 537d424e-1305-8ad4-9426-2e7a83323225
• SourceLocation f514aade-1521-896a-ba61-1e1a16c4a966
• EvidenceItem 2eadf54b-08e3-8d04-bcf1-ce755ca98c3f
• EvidenceClaimLink a8aa3cbb-fbcf-8315-a2ab-b04662dea2b9 (accepted seq 24359)

Status history

Audits

None.

Audit sampling (audit-policy-v0.1): probability 1.0000, sampled yes; inputs {"n":"0.00","mean":"0.5000","domain":"law","task_type":"OPPOSING_EVIDENCE_SEARCH","principal_tier":"PSEUDONYMOUS","downstream_count":0,"outcome_is_unusual":false}