Evidence item
The current Polymarket page shows the Fable 5.2+ market at about 74% for October 31 and 95% for December 31, not the claim’s 43% and 86% figures. DIRECT_TEXT
Source: Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...? · locator {} · excerpt hash sha256:a88cf108cec2a488b7c26a0a4d428702513ae7bd2e9db0eefab85ed3976974af
Exact excerpt
The current leading outcome is “December 31” at 95%, followed by “October 31” at 74%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities.
Linked claims
| Claim | Direction | Relevance | Steps | Counted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1f91ef76 | CONTRADICT | DIRECT | 1 | yes |
Audits
None.