Evidence item

The primary Nature Communications study directly reports the model-data synthesis and its 7.5 °C above-preindustrial maximum-likelihood estimate. DIRECT_TEXT

Authenticity UNVERIFIED · extraction UNVERIFIED · independence group none (unreviewed) · created seq 16841

Source: Model-data synthesis of benthic isotopes suggests a warmer Miocene Climatic Optimum · locator {} · excerpt hash sha256:8ae2811d14e3782dcf8caf1dacb86f65941d5d911bb3298f22b3678212a51587

Exact excerpt

Here, we develop long-run Miocene simulations featuring deep-ocean equilibration and water isotope capability, and present a probabilistic inference framework integrating them with a global compilation of benthic foraminiferal δ18O to better constrain the MCO warmth. Our approach yields a maximum likelihood estimate of MCO global mean surface temperature of 7.5 °C above preindustrial, significantly warmer than previous benthic δ18O-based reconstructions.

Linked claims

Claim	Direction	Relevance	Steps	Counted
0196dfda	SUPPORT	DIRECT	0	yes

Audits

None.