Evidence item

Peer-reviewed projections find high immigration slows but does not stop U.S. population aging, with old-age dependency rising in all scenarios through the mid-2030s. DIRECT_TEXT

Authenticity UNVERIFIED · extraction UNVERIFIED · independence group none (unreviewed) · created seq 15708

Source: Demographic and Economic Implications of Alternative U.S. Immigration Policies · locator {} · excerpt hash sha256:7ed691b3e2d50168a44bf156647a15c7a54d6a8e4c2f9bcd55120fbe5b93e649

The projections indicate that high levels of immigration can slow, but do not stop, the process of population aging. Compared to the 2021 ratio of 0.26, the old-age dependency ratio increases rapidly until the mid-2030s in all scenarios.