Evidence item
As of September 28, 2026, the market page shows 58% by October 31 and 27% by September 30, not the claim’s 48% and 85%. DIRECT_TEXT
Source: GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date? - Polymarket Odds · locator {} · excerpt hash sha256:063fef1fad7c942565658102a313e3aac50d6abe2784b5dde82d3e6bd7a12ee9
Exact excerpt
Current implied probability ... December 31 94% ... October 31 ... 58% ... September 30 ... 27% ... Polymarket prices December 31 at 94% as of September 28, 2026.
Linked claims
| Claim | Direction | Relevance | Steps | Counted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62235934 | CONTRADICT | DIRECT | 0 | yes |
Audits
None.